Result · Sunday, Sep 13, 03:00 PM
Mustang SC 1–3 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 41% chance. Pre-match odds were 38% home, 21% draw, 41% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-5 | 5-1-3 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.78 |
| Goals for / game | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L L | L W L L W |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Force | 5–2 at Davis Legacy |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Marin FC | 0–7 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.29 | -0.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.39 | -0.02 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 1–3 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Placer United — Mustang SC 1–2; Bay Area Surf 1–0. Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 0–2; Bay Area Surf 5–2. Force — Mustang SC 3–0; Bay Area Surf 0–1, 2–3. Marin FC — Mustang SC 1–4; Bay Area Surf 1–1. San Juan SC — Mustang SC 1–4; Bay Area Surf 0–7. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 2–1; Bay Area Surf 3–1. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 2–0, 4–2; Bay Area Surf 4–3.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 8th | 4th |
| Games left | 9 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 2% | 33% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 7.0 | 5.1 |
How the results connect
68 chains
23 favour Mustang SC, 34 favour Bay Area Surf, 11 even; average margin -0.4 goals toward Mustang SC.
- -2Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- +1Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 4–2 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Bay Area Surf 3–4
- +1Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 2–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Bay Area Surf 3–4
- -1Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 2–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- -2Mustang SC lost to Placer United 1–2 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1
- -3Mustang SC lost to Marin FC 1–4 → Marin FC drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
Full picture: Mustang SC · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU18/19 standings