Michigan Rangers FC
ECNL Regional League Girls · GMA GU18/19 · 12 teams · Michigan Rangers FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:00 PM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.5 for, 2.1 against · 1.67 expected points)
| Season so far | Michigan Rangers FC | Cap City Athletic 1847 |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-1 | 6-0-0 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 6.2 | 4.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 11–0 at Plymouth Reign | 10–0 at Liverpool FC MI GMA |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Portage SC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +3.18 | +2.55 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.22 | -0.87 |
Common opponents: Portage SC — we 1–2; they 1–0. Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 09/08 GMA — we 3–1; they 9–0. Liverpool FC MI GMA — we 8–0; they 10–0. Nationals SC-CA GMA — we 11–1; they 4–0.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Cap City Athletic 1847 score 4.8/game — well above the league's 2.2.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
Cap City Athletic 1847 concede only 0.5/game with 4 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 49% / draw 19% / loss 32%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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They arrive in form
Cap City Athletic 1847 have won 6 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Cap City Athletic 1847 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Michigan Rangers FC – Cap City Athletic 1847) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 2.29 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 2.57 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.29 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Loss 2.14 PPG |
2nd— holds | 3rd▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 35%
- 2nd 54%
- 3rd 7%
- 4th 3%
- 5th 1%
- 6th <1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cap City Athletic 1847 | 3.00 (+0.50) | 1st (2.63) | 18 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection |
How the results connect
21 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Michigan Rangers FC to Cap City Athletic 1847 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
14 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.86 · 1st hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 03:00 PM |
Cap City Athletic 1847 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +26 |
Home 28th Ave |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–2 | 1.67 | 2.38 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 05:00 PM |
TKO Premier SC 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -6 |
Away far trip
Kalamazoo Soccer Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
4–1 | 2.71 | 2.42 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 05:30 PM |
Nationals SC-Union GMA 3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +12 |
Away far trip
Evolution Sportsplex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
3–1 | 2.16 | 2.39 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 02:00 PM |
Michigan Burn 5th · 3-1-1 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
The Sports Academy · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
3–1 | 2.29 | 2.38 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 14 12:00 PM |
Legends FC 7th · 1-2-1 · GD +4 |
Home Davenport University - Student Activities Center · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–1 | 2.53 | 2.40 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Cap City Athletic 1847 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | +26 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.87 | +0.64 | 100% | 1.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Michigan Rangers FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Michigan Burn · Tue Oct 27 at Legends FC See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Michigan Rangers FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 4 | +33 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWWW | -1.22 | +0.86 | 99% | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Cap City Athletic 1847 · Sun Oct 25 at TKO Premier SC · Sun Nov 1 at Nationals SC-Union GMA See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Nationals SC-Union GMA | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 15 | 2.14 | WWLLW | -0.45 | +0.75 | 59% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Plymouth Reign · Sat Oct 31 vs Detroit City FC West · Sun Nov 1 vs Michigan Rangers FC See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Detroit City FC West | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 12 | 2.00 | WWLWW | -0.58 | +0.55 | 27% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Oct 26 vs Plymouth Reign · Sat Oct 31 at Nationals SC-Union GMA · Sun Nov 1 at Michigan Burn See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Michigan Burn | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 10 | 2.00 | DWWLW | -1.10 | +0.79 | 19% | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at TKO Premier SC · Sat Oct 24 vs Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 at Cap City Athletic 1847 See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Portage SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 15 | 1.88 | WWLDD | +0.49 | -1.60 | 88% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Nationals SC-CA GMA · Sat Oct 31 vs Liverpool FC MI GMA · Sat Nov 7 vs Nationals SC-Union GMA See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Legends FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 5 | 1.25 | DWDL | +0.10 | -0.10 | 9% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Michigan Burn · Tue Oct 27 vs Cap City Athletic 1847 · Sun Nov 1 at Nationals SC-CA GMA See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 09/08 GMA | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 7 | 0.88 | WDLWL | +0.89 | -2.71 | 0% | 8.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Liverpool FC MI GMA · Sun Oct 25 vs Plymouth Reign See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | TKO Premier SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 | 0.67 | WLLLD | +0.70 | -0.52 | 0% | 8.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Michigan Burn · Sun Oct 25 vs Michigan Rangers FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Nationals SC-CA GMA See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Plymouth Reign | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLLW | -0.47 | +0.71 | 0% | 10.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Nationals SC-Union GMA · Sun Oct 25 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 09/08 GMA · Mon Oct 26 at Detroit City FC West See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Nationals SC-CA GMA | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 36 | -27 | 3 | 0.43 | LLWLL | +0.69 | -0.57 | 0% | 10.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Portage SC · Sat Oct 31 at TKO Premier SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Legends FC See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Liverpool FC MI GMA | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 34 | -34 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.93 | -0.50 | 0% | 11.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 09/08 GMA · Sat Oct 31 at Portage SC · Sun Nov 1 at TKO Premier SC See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.