Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
South Carolina Surf 2–2 Concorde Fire Premier
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 20% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 54% home, 20% draw, 26% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | South Carolina Surf | Concorde Fire Premier |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-3-2 | 3-2-4 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.22 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W D W L | D L L L W |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs South Carolina United | 3–0 at South Carolina United |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs NTH NASA ENCL RL | 1–4 vs CESA Triumph Summit |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.49 | +0.07 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.12 | -0.10 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 2–2 (home for South Carolina Surf)
Common opponents: Atlanta Fire United — South Carolina Surf 3–0; Concorde Fire Premier 2–3. NTH NASA ENCL RL — South Carolina Surf 0–2; Concorde Fire Premier 1–2. South Carolina United — South Carolina Surf 4–0, 2–2; Concorde Fire Premier 3–0. Concorde Fire Platinum — South Carolina Surf 2–0; Concorde Fire Premier 4–1, 2–3.
What's at stake
| South Carolina Surf | Concorde Fire Premier | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 7th |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 45% | 7% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.8 | 6.4 |
How the results connect
55 chains
32 favour South Carolina Surf, 18 favour Concorde Fire Premier, 5 even; average margin +1.1 goals toward South Carolina Surf.
- 0South Carolina Surf drew with Concorde Fire Premier 2–2
- -1South Carolina Surf beat Concorde Fire Platinum 2–0 → Concorde Fire Platinum lost to Concorde Fire Premier 1–4
- +1South Carolina Surf beat South Carolina United 4–0 → South Carolina United lost to Concorde Fire Premier 0–3
- -1South Carolina Surf lost to NTH NASA ENCL RL 0–2 → NTH NASA ENCL RL beat Concorde Fire Premier 2–1
- +3South Carolina Surf beat Concorde Fire Platinum 2–0 → Concorde Fire Platinum beat Concorde Fire Premier 3–2
- -3South Carolina Surf drew with South Carolina United 2–2 → South Carolina United lost to Concorde Fire Premier 0–3
Full picture: South Carolina Surf · Concorde Fire Premier · Southeast BU15 standings