Result · Saturday, Aug 29, 01:00 PM
CESA Triumph Surge 3–1 GSA
Wenwood · Field 3 ↗ · 29607
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 32% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 32% home, 19% draw, 49% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | CESA Triumph Surge | GSA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-3 | 5-1-3 |
| Points per game | 1.63 | 1.78 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L W W | W W W D W |
| Biggest win | 5–0 vs United Futbol Academy | 5–0 vs Charlotte SA Gold |
| Worst loss | 0–5 at GSA | 0–3 at CESA Triumph Summit |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.13 | +0.80 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.14 | -0.14 |
Already met this season: Aug 29 3–1 (home for CESA Triumph Surge); Oct 18 0–5 (away for CESA Triumph Surge)
Common opponents: South Carolina United — CESA Triumph Surge 4–0; GSA 3–3. CESA Triumph Summit — CESA Triumph Surge 0–2; GSA 0–3, 1–0.
What's at stake
| CESA Triumph Surge | GSA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 3rd |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 58% | 90% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 9% |
| Average finish | 4.4 | 3.0 |
How the results connect
42 chains
23 favour CESA Triumph Surge, 16 favour GSA, 3 even; average margin +0.6 goals toward CESA Triumph Surge.
- +2CESA Triumph Surge beat GSA 3–1
- -5CESA Triumph Surge lost to GSA 0–5
- +1CESA Triumph Surge lost to CESA Triumph Summit 0–2 → CESA Triumph Summit beat GSA 3–0
- -3CESA Triumph Surge lost to CESA Triumph Summit 0–2 → CESA Triumph Summit lost to GSA 0–1
- +4CESA Triumph Surge beat South Carolina United 4–0 → South Carolina United drew with GSA 3–3
- 0CESA Triumph Surge beat Concorde Fire Platinum 1–0 → Concorde Fire Platinum drew with CESA Triumph Summit 1–1 → CESA Triumph Summit lost to GSA 0–1
Full picture: CESA Triumph Surge · GSA · Southeast BU14 standings