TableChase Clubs

Washington Premier

ECNL Regional League Boys · Northwest BU15 · 12 teams · Washington Premier FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 hours ago.
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2nd
4-2-0 record · 6 played
2.33 points per game
+15 goal diff · 21–6
WDWWDlast 5
82% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.1
+0.05 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:00 PM

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Washington Premier
2nd · 2.33 PPG
at

Chesterly Park, Field 5 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.4 against · 1.71 expected points)

Season so farWashington PremierCentral Washington Sounders
Position2nd6th
Record (W-D-L)4-2-04-2-2
Points per game2.331.75
Goals for / game3.52.4
Goals against / game1.01.3
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)D W W D WW L D L W
Biggest win7–1 at Columbia Premier SC7–0 vs Spokane Shadow
Worst loss—0–3 at Whatcom FC Rangers
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.66+0.59
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.05-0.61

Common opponents: Spokane Shadow — we 5–0; they 7–0, 3–1. Seattle United — we 1–1; they 0–1. Eastside FC — we 5–2; they 2–2. Columbia Premier SC — we 7–1; they 4–2.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Central Washington Sounders concede only 1.2/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 50% / draw 22% / loss 28%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:00 PM at Chesterly Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Washington Sounders game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Washington Premier – Central Washington Sounders) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.14 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1
Win
2.43 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.14 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1
Loss
2.00 PPG
4th▼ down 2 4th▼ down 2 4th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

9% finish 1st
82% top 4
18% below the top 4
3.1 average finish
  1. 1st 9%
  2. 2nd 33%
  3. 3rd 23%
  4. 4th 16%
  5. 5th 10%
  6. 6th 5%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.82 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Seattle United 2.75 (+0.42) 1st (2.44) 47 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection

How the results connect

33 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Washington Premier to Central Washington Sounders through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

23 favour us
2 even
8 favour them
+2.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 1–0 5–0 0–7 5–2 2–2 1–3 7–1 2–4 1–1 1–2 2–1 1–2 1–1 2–1 1–2 4–4 2–1 5–0 Washington Premier 2nd Seattle United 1st Spokane Shadow 11th Eastside FC 7th Columbia Premier SC 10th Wenatchee FA -RL B1… 8th Northwest United 3rd PacNW SC 5th Central Washington … 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 11 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.29 · 8th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
03:00 PM
Central Washington Sounders
6th · 4-2-2 · GD +9
Away far trip
Chesterly Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
1–1 1.71 2.24 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
XF
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -10
Home
WPFC Field Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–0 2.58 2.29 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
Valor Soccer
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -52
Home
WPFC Field Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
8–0 2.99 2.36 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
TBD
Whatcom FC Rangers
4th · 5-1-2 · GD +32
Away
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.05 2.23 Upside
Sun Dec 6
03:00 PM
Columbia Premier SC
10th · 0-1-6 · GD -38
Home
WPFC Field Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
7–1 2.96 2.30 Bank it
Sat Dec 12
11:00 AM
Northwest United
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +21
Away far trip
Mount Vernon High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.20 2.21 Upside
Sun Dec 20
01:00 PM
Eastside FC
7th · 4-1-3 · GD +15
Home
WPFC Field Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.68 2.17 Swing game
Sun Jan 10
01:00 PM
PacNW SC
5th · 4-1-2 · GD +5
Home
WPFC Field Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
2–1 2.11 2.16 Swing game
Sat Jan 16
01:00 PM
Central Washington Sounders
6th · 4-2-2 · GD +9
Home
WPFC Field Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.97 2.15 Swing game
Sun Jan 17
TBD
XF
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -10
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
2–0 2.40 2.16 Bank it
Sat Jan 23
TBD
Valor Soccer
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -52
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–0 2.97 2.21 Bank it
Sun Jan 31
TBD
Wenatchee FA -RL B11/12 Black
8th · 4-1-4 · GD +19
Away
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.23 2.16 Upside
Sat Feb 6
01:00 PM
Spokane Shadow
11th · 0-1-7 · GD -44
Home
WPFC Field Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
6–0 2.96 2.20 Bank it
Sun Feb 14
TBD
PacNW SC
5th · 4-1-2 · GD +5
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
2–1 1.85 2.18 Swing game
Sat Feb 20
TBD
Whatcom FC Rangers
4th · 5-1-2 · GD +32
Home
●●●●○ Tough
39%
2–2 1.35 2.14 Upside
Sun Feb 21
TBD
Seattle United
1st · 7-1-0 · GD +28
Home
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.24 2.10 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Seattle United 8710 368+28 222.75 DWWWW -0.30 -0.34 100% 1.2
2 Washington Premier 6420 216+15 142.33 WDWWD +0.05 -0.29 82% 3.1
3 Northwest United 7502 265+21 152.14 WWLWW -1.34 +0.32 59% 4.2
4 Whatcom FC Rangers 8512 419+32 162.00 LWDWW -1.27 +0.23 75% 3.5
5 PacNW SC 7412 1611+5 131.86 WDWWL -0.00 -0.09 4% 7.0
6 Central Washington Sounders 8422 1910+9 141.75 WLDLW -0.61 +0.26 3% 7.3
7 Eastside FC 8413 2712+15 131.63 WLWWW +0.46 -0.60 37% 5.0
8 Wenatchee FA -RL B11/12 Black 9414 2910+19 131.44 LLLLD +0.46 -0.61 41% 4.8
9 XF 6114 515-10 40.67 LWDLL +0.89 -0.36 0% 9.0
10 Columbia Premier SC 7016 1149-38 10.14 DLLLL +0.56 +0.17 0% 10.5
11 Spokane Shadow 8017 549-44 10.13 DLLLL +0.72 +0.06 0% 10.9
12 Valor Soccer 6006 153-52 00.00 LLLLL +1.87 -0.15 0% 11.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.59 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.