Columbia Premier SC
ECNL Regional League Boys · Northwest BU15 · 12 teams · Columbia Premier Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 01:00 PM
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS, Field 1 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–8 (expected goals 1.3 for, 8.1 against · 0.03 expected points)
| Season so far | Columbia Premier SC | Eastside FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-1-6 | 4-1-3 |
| Points per game | 0.14 | 1.63 |
| Goals for / game | 1.6 | 3.4 |
| Goals against / game | 7.0 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L D | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | — | 11–0 at Spokane Shadow |
| Worst loss | 0–12 at Wenatchee FA -RL B11/12 Black | 2–5 vs Washington Premier |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -3.65 | +1.63 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.56 | +0.46 |
Common opponents: Central Washington Sounders — we 2–4; they 2–2. Wenatchee FA -RL B11/12 Black — we 0–12; they 1–2, 2–0. Spokane Shadow — we 4–4; they 11–0. XF — we 2–4; they 3–1. Washington Premier — we 1–7; they 2–5. Seattle United — we 1–13; they 1–2.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–12 at Wenatchee FA -RL B11/12 Black.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 1%; a draw (1%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
Eastside FC have won 3 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 01:00 PM at PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Eastside FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Columbia Premier SC – Eastside FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.13 PPG |
11th▼ down 1 | 10th— holds | 12th▼ down 2 |
| Win 0.50 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 10th— holds |
| Draw 0.25 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 12th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 0.13 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 12th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–8 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th 1%
- 10th 61%
- 11th 31%
- 12th 7%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.09 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle United | 2.75 (+2.61) | 1st (2.44) | 60 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Washington Premier | 2.33 (+2.19) | 2nd (2.10) | 51 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Northwest United | 2.14 (+2.00) | 4th (1.96) | 47 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection |
| 4 | Whatcom FC Rangers | 2.00 (+1.86) | 3rd (2.01) | 43 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection |
| 5 | PacNW SC | 1.86 (+1.72) | 7th (1.60) | 40 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 6 | Central Washington Sounders | 1.75 (+1.61) | 8th (1.52) | 38 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 7 | Eastside FC | 1.63 (+1.49) | 6th (1.85) | 35 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 8 | Wenatchee FA -RL B11/12 Black | 1.44 (+1.30) | 5th (1.86) | 31 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 9 | XF | 0.67 (+0.53) | 9th (0.98) | 14 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
How the results connect
36 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Columbia Premier SC to Eastside FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.17 · 4th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 01:00 PM |
Eastside FC 7th · 4-1-3 · GD +15 |
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–8 | 0.03 | 0.13 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 10:00 AM |
Spokane Shadow 11th · 0-1-7 · GD -44 |
Away far trip
Spokane Shadow Polo Fields |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
3–2 | 1.74 | 0.31 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 11:00 AM |
PacNW SC 5th · 4-1-2 · GD +5 |
Home Harmony Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–4 | 0.27 | 0.30 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 03:00 PM |
Whatcom FC Rangers 4th · 5-1-2 · GD +32 |
Home Harmony Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–8 | 0.03 | 0.28 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 01:00 PM |
Wenatchee FA -RL B11/12 Black 8th · 4-1-4 · GD +19 |
Home Harmony Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–6 | 0.07 | 0.26 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 01:00 PM |
Valor Soccer 12th · 0-0-6 · GD -52 |
Home Harmony Sports Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
5–2 | 2.46 | 0.43 | Bank it |
| Sun Dec 6 03:00 PM |
Washington Premier 2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +15 |
Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–7 | 0.03 | 0.40 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 TBD |
XF 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -10 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.59 | 0.41 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 10 11:00 AM |
Northwest United 3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +21 |
Home Harmony Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–6 | 0.06 | 0.39 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 16 TBD |
Whatcom FC Rangers 4th · 5-1-2 · GD +32 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
1–9 | 0.01 | 0.37 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 17 10:30 AM |
Seattle United 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +28 |
Away far trip
TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
1–9 | 0.01 | 0.35 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 23 01:00 PM |
Eastside FC 7th · 4-1-3 · GD +15 |
Home Harmony Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
1–7 | 0.07 | 0.34 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 31 TBD |
Central Washington Sounders 6th · 4-2-2 · GD +9 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
1–4 | 0.23 | 0.33 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 20 TBD |
Valor Soccer 12th · 0-0-6 · GD -52 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
4–2 | 2.16 | 0.42 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 21 TBD |
PacNW SC 5th · 4-1-2 · GD +5 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
1–5 | 0.15 | 0.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Seattle United | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 8 | +28 | 22 | 2.75 | DWWWW | -0.30 | -0.34 | 100% | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Northwest United · Sat Oct 31 vs PacNW SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Spokane Shadow See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Washington Premier | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 14 | 2.33 | WDWWD | +0.05 | -0.29 | 83% | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Central Washington Sounders · Sat Oct 31 vs XF · Sat Nov 7 vs Valor Soccer See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Northwest United | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 5 | +21 | 15 | 2.14 | WWLWW | -1.34 | +0.32 | 60% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Seattle United · Sat Oct 31 at Wenatchee FA -RL B11/12 Black · Sun Nov 1 at Central Washington Sounders See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Whatcom FC Rangers | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 9 | +32 | 16 | 2.00 | LWDWW | -1.27 | +0.23 | 75% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Spokane Shadow · Sun Nov 1 at Wenatchee FA -RL B11/12 Black · Sat Nov 7 at Central Washington Sounders See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | PacNW SC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 13 | 1.86 | WDWWL | -0.00 | -0.09 | 4% | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at XF · Sat Oct 31 at Seattle United · Sat Nov 7 at Columbia Premier SC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Central Washington Sounders | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 14 | 1.75 | WLDLW | -0.61 | +0.26 | 3% | 7.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Washington Premier · Sat Oct 31 vs Valor Soccer · Sun Nov 1 vs Northwest United See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Eastside FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 12 | +15 | 13 | 1.63 | WLWWW | +0.46 | -0.60 | 39% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Valor Soccer · Sat Oct 31 vs Columbia Premier SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Northwest United See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Wenatchee FA -RL B11/12 Black | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 10 | +19 | 13 | 1.44 | LLLLD | +0.46 | -0.61 | 38% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Spokane Shadow · Sat Oct 31 vs Northwest United · Sun Nov 1 vs Whatcom FC Rangers See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | XF | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | 0.67 | LWDLL | +0.89 | -0.36 | 0% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Spokane Shadow · Sun Oct 25 vs PacNW SC · Sat Oct 31 at Washington Premier See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Columbia Premier SC | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 49 | -38 | 1 | 0.14 | DLLLL | +0.56 | +0.17 | 0% | 10.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Eastside FC · Sun Nov 1 at Spokane Shadow · Sat Nov 7 vs PacNW SC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Spokane Shadow | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 49 | -44 | 1 | 0.13 | DLLLL | +0.72 | +0.06 | 0% | 10.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Valor Soccer · Sun Oct 4 vs XF · Sun Oct 25 at Wenatchee FA -RL B11/12 Black See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Valor Soccer | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 53 | -52 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.87 | -0.15 | 0% | 11.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Spokane Shadow · Sun Oct 25 vs Eastside FC · Sat Oct 31 at Central Washington Sounders See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.59 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.