Valor Soccer

ECNL Regional League Boys · Northwest BU13 · 12 teams · Valor Soccer (all teams)

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11th

0-1-5 record · 6 played

0.17 points per game

-22 goal diff · 3–25

LLLDLlast 5

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.0

+0.25 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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Valor Soccer
11th · 0.17 PPG

Eastside FC
7th · 1.29 PPG

Petrovitsky Park, Field 2 ↗

12% 15% 72%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 2.8 against · 0.52 expected points)

Season so far	Valor Soccer	Eastside FC
Position	11th	7th
Record (W-D-L)	0-1-5	3-0-4
Points per game	0.17	1.29
Goals for / game	0.5	1.9
Goals against / game	4.2	2.1
Clean sheets	0	3
Held scoreless	3	1
Form (recent first)	L D L L L	L W L L W
Biggest win	—	4–0 at Spokane Shadow
Worst loss	0–10 at Seattle United	2–5 vs Seattle United
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-2.26	-0.15
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.25	+0.17

Common opponents: Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black — we 1–5; they 2–4, 0–3. Spokane Shadow — we 1–1; they 4–0. Seattle United — we 0–10; they 2–5.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–3 at Whatcom FC Rangers, 0–4 at PacNW SC, 0–10 at Seattle United.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 12%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eastside FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Valor Soccer – Eastside FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.14 PPG	11th— holds	11th— holds	12th▼ down 1
Win 0.57 PPG	11th— holds	11th— holds	11th— holds
Draw 0.29 PPG	11th— holds	11th— holds	12th▼ down 1
Loss 0.14 PPG	11th— holds	11th— holds	12th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

0% top 4

100% below the top 4

11.0 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th <1%
10th 11%
11th 82%
12th 7%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.23 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Seattle United	3.00 (+2.83)	1st (2.60)	65 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 57 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	Northwest United -RL	2.57 (+2.40)	2nd (2.17)	56 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
3	Central Washington Sounders	2.57 (+2.40)	3rd (2.08)	56 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
4	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black	1.88 (+1.71)	4th (1.81)	41 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
5	Columbia Premier SC	1.67 (+1.50)	6th (1.68)	36 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
6	Washington Premier	1.40 (+1.23)	5th (1.78)	30 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
7	Eastside FC	1.29 (+1.12)	8th (1.31)	28 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
8	PacNW SC	1.17 (+1.00)	7th (1.41)	25 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
9	Whatcom FC Rangers	1.14 (+0.97)	9th (1.19)	25 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
10	XF	0.67 (+0.50)	10th (0.69)	14 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection

How the results connect

27 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Valor Soccer to Eastside FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us

23 favour them

-2.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.24 · 2nd hardest of 12

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM	Eastside FC 7th · 3-0-4 · GD -2	Home Petrovitsky Park	●●●●● Very tough	12%	1–2	0.52	0.22	Upside
Sat Nov 7 01:00 PM	Washington Premier 6th · 2-1-2 · GD +7	Away far trip WPFC Field Complex	●●●●● Very tough	3%	0–3	0.15	0.21	Upside
Sun Nov 15 01:00 PM	Columbia Premier SC 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +6	Away far trip Harmony Sports Complex	●●●●● Very tough	4%	0–3	0.19	0.21	Upside
Sun Dec 6 11:00 AM	Northwest United -RL 2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +15	Away far trip Sedro-Woolley High School	●●●●● Very tough	2%	0–4	0.09	0.19	Upside
Sat Jan 9 04:00 PM	Spokane Shadow 12th · 0-1-8 · GD -44	Home Petrovitsky Park	●●○○○ Lean win	65%	2–1	2.14	0.37	Swing game
Sun Jan 17 TBD	Central Washington Sounders 3rd · 6-0-1 · GD +14	Home	●●●●● Very tough	4%	0–4	0.17	0.35	Upside
Sun Jan 31 TBD	XF 10th · 1-1-4 · GD -13	Home	●●●●○ Tough	31%	1–1	1.19	0.42	Upside
Sun Feb 7 TBD	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black 4th · 5-0-3 · GD +6	Away	●●●●● Very tough	3%	0–4	0.16	0.40	Upside
Sat Feb 20 TBD	Columbia Premier SC 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +6	Home	●●●●● Very tough	6%	0–3	0.30	0.39	Upside
Sat Mar 6 TBD	XF 10th · 1-1-4 · GD -13	Away	●●●●● Very tough	24%	1–1	0.96	0.43	Upside
Sun Mar 14 TBD	Whatcom FC Rangers 9th · 2-2-3 · GD +0	Home	●●●●● Very tough	13%	1–2	0.53	0.44	Upside
Sat Mar 20 03:00 PM	Eastside FC 7th · 3-0-4 · GD -2	Away PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS	●●●●● Very tough	8%	0–3	0.36	0.43	Upside
Sun Mar 21 TBD	Seattle United 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +27	Home	●●●●● Very tough	1%	0–6	0.04	0.41	Upside
Sat Apr 3 TBD	Washington Premier 6th · 2-1-2 · GD +7	Home	●●●●● Very tough	5%	0–3	0.24	0.40	Upside
Sun Apr 4 TBD	PacNW SC 8th · 2-1-3 · GD +6	Home	●●●●● Very tough	7%	1–3	0.32	0.40	Upside
Sat May 1 11:00 AM	Central Washington Sounders 3rd · 6-0-1 · GD +14	Away far trip Chesterly Park	●●●●● Very tough	2%	0–4	0.10	0.38	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Seattle United

+27

3.00

WWWWW

-0.40

-0.16

100%

1.1

W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	10–0
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	4–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	3–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Eastside FC (7th)	5–2
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	XF (10th)	7–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	5–2

Next: Sun Oct 11 at Central Washington Sounders · Sun Oct 25 at Northwest United -RL · Sat Nov 7 vs Spokane Shadow See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 11 (no score yet)	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	3–2	59%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	3–2	54%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Spokane Shadow (12th)	9–0	100%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Eastside FC (7th)	4–1	88%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	3–2	71%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	XF (10th)	4–0	93%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Spokane Shadow (12th)	8–0	100%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	3–2	66%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Washington Premier (6th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	4–1	87%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	3–1	67%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	6–0	98%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	4–1	78%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	PacNW SC (8th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat May 1	vs	PacNW SC (8th)	4–1	82%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Northwest United -RL

+15

2.57

WWWWW

-0.32

+0.02

96%

2.5

W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Spokane Shadow (12th)	8–1
W	Sat Oct 10	at	PacNW SC (8th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	3–2
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	5–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Washington Premier (6th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	2–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Seattle United · Sat Nov 7 at Eastside FC · Sun Nov 15 at Spokane Shadow See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Seattle United (1st)	2–3	29%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Eastside FC (7th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Spokane Shadow (12th)	5–0	98%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	4–0	95%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	2–1	50%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	PacNW SC (8th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	Seattle United (1st)	2–3	20%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Eastside FC (7th)	3–1	71%
·	Fri Mar 5	vs	XF (10th)	3–0	87%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	2–1	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	XF (10th)	3–0	81%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–2	39%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat May 1	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	2–2	48%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Central Washington Sounders

+14

2.57

WLWWW

-0.40

+0.10

89%

3.1

W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Eastside FC (7th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	PacNW SC (8th)	3–2
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	2–5
W	Sun Sep 20	at	XF (10th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Spokane Shadow (12th)	5–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	4–1

Next: Sun Oct 11 vs Seattle United · Sun Oct 25 vs Washington Premier · Sat Nov 7 vs Whatcom FC Rangers See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 11 (no score yet)	vs	Seattle United (1st)	2–3	25%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	2–1	47%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Eastside FC (7th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	PacNW SC (8th)	2–2	49%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	XF (10th)	3–0	86%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Seattle United (1st)	2–3	16%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Washington Premier (6th)	1–2	37%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	4–0	90%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	2–2	44%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	2–2	44%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Spokane Shadow (12th)	5–0	97%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	2–2	42%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	4–0	94%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black

1.88

LLWWW

+0.33

-0.21

47%

4.7

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Eastside FC (7th)	3–0
W	Sun Oct 11	at	PacNW SC (8th)	4–2
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Eastside FC (7th)	4–2
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Seattle United (1st)	1–4
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	5–1
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	1–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Spokane Shadow · Sun Nov 1 vs Whatcom FC Rangers · Sat Nov 7 at XF See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Spokane Shadow (12th)	5–0	97%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	XF (10th)	2–1	73%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Spokane Shadow (12th)	4–0	95%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	PacNW SC (8th)	2–2	50%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	1–1	38%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	4–0	90%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	XF (10th)	3–0	80%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–2	37%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Washington Premier (6th)	1–2	29%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Seattle United (1st)	1–4	11%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	2–2	33%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Columbia Premier SC

1.67

WWWLD

-0.13

+0.04

23%

5.5

D	Sat Oct 10	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	1–1
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	XF (10th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Spokane Shadow (12th)	7–0
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–4

Next: Sat Nov 7 vs PacNW SC · Sun Nov 8 vs Whatcom FC Rangers · Sat Nov 14 vs Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	PacNW SC (8th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	3–0	89%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Washington Premier (6th)	1–2	29%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	XF (10th)	2–0	71%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	2–1	48%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	Seattle United (1st)	1–3	12%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	3–0	83%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	PacNW SC (8th)	2–2	39%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	1–2	33%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Seattle United (1st)	1–3	18%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Eastside FC (7th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat May 1	at	Eastside FC (7th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun May 2	at	Spokane Shadow (12th)	4–0	94%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Washington Premier

1.40

WWLLD

+0.26

-0.11

42%

4.8

D	Sat Oct 10	at	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	1–1
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Eastside FC (7th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Seattle United (1st)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Spokane Shadow (12th)	8–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Central Washington Sounders · Sat Nov 7 vs Valor Soccer · Sun Nov 15 at Whatcom FC Rangers See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–2	33%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	3–0	91%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	2–1	53%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–1	43%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	XF (10th)	2–0	74%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Spokane Shadow (12th)	5–0	97%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Seattle United (1st)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	PacNW SC (8th)	2–1	55%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	2–1	51%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	PacNW SC (8th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	3–0	86%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Eastside FC (7th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat May 1	vs	XF (10th)	2–0	81%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eastside FC

-2

1.29

WLLWL

+0.17

-0.01

7.8

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	0–3
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	XF (10th)	2–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	2–4
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–3
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Spokane Shadow (12th)	4–0
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Seattle United (1st)	2–5

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Valor Soccer · Sat Nov 7 vs Northwest United -RL · Sat Nov 14 vs Central Washington Sounders See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	2–1	72%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Seattle United (1st)	1–4	5%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	PacNW SC (8th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun Jan 10	vs	Spokane Shadow (12th)	4–0	93%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	1–1	43%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	XF (10th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	1–1	34%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	PacNW SC (8th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	3–0	80%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Washington Premier (6th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	1–2	31%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PacNW SC

1.17

DWLLL

-0.39

+0.18

7.2

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	2–4
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	1–3
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	4–0
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Spokane Shadow (12th)	7–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at XF · Sat Nov 7 at Columbia Premier SC · Sun Nov 15 vs Central Washington Sounders See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	XF (10th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	1–2	31%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–2	33%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Eastside FC (7th)	2–1	46%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	2–2	31%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Spokane Shadow (12th)	5–0	97%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Washington Premier (6th)	1–2	26%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Eastside FC (7th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	1–2	34%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	XF (10th)	2–0	78%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	3–1	83%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Seattle United (1st)	1–3	15%
·	Sat May 1	at	Seattle United (1st)	1–4	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Whatcom FC Rangers

1.14

DLLDW

-0.36

+0.22

8.3

W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Spokane Shadow (12th)	5–0
D	Sat Oct 3	at	XF (10th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	1–3
D	Sat Sep 19	at	PacNW SC (8th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Seattle United (1st)	2–5

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black · Sat Nov 7 at Central Washington Sounders · Sun Nov 8 at Columbia Premier SC See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	XF (10th)	2–0	66%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	1–2	26%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	PacNW SC (8th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	1–2	31%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Eastside FC (7th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Eastside FC (7th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Washington Premier (6th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Seattle United (1st)	1–4	6%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	2–1	72%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	1–2	21%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	1–2	14%
·	Sat May 1	at	Spokane Shadow (12th)	3–0	88%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

-13

0.67

LLDWL

+0.04

+0.18

10.0

L	Sun Oct 11	at	Eastside FC (7th)	0–2
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Spokane Shadow (12th)	1–0
D	Sat Oct 3	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–4
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Seattle United (1st)	0–7

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PacNW SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black · Sun Nov 8 vs Spokane Shadow See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	PacNW SC (8th)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	1–2	12%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Spokane Shadow (12th)	2–0	72%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	0–2	15%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	0–2	12%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Seattle United (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	0–2	10%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Eastside FC (7th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	0–3	8%
·	Fri Mar 5	at	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	1–1	52%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	0–3	7%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	PacNW SC (8th)	0–2	9%
·	Sat May 1	at	Washington Premier (6th)	0–2	6%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Valor Soccer

-22

0.17

LLLDL

+0.25

+0.24

11.0

L	Sat Oct 10	at	Seattle United (1st)	0–10
D	Sat Oct 3	at	Spokane Shadow (12th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 27	at	PacNW SC (8th)	0–4
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	1–5
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	1–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Eastside FC · Sat Nov 7 at Washington Premier · Sun Nov 15 at Columbia Premier SC See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Eastside FC (7th)	1–2	12%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Washington Premier (6th)	0–3	3%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	0–3	4%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Spokane Shadow (12th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	0–4	4%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	XF (10th)	1–1	31%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	0–4	3%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	XF (10th)	1–1	24%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Eastside FC (7th)	0–3	8%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Seattle United (1st)	0–6	1%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	PacNW SC (8th)	1–3	7%
·	Sat May 1	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	0–4	2%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Spokane Shadow

-44

0.11

LDLLL

+0.04

+0.59

11.9

L	Sun Oct 11	at	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	1–8
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	0–5
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	XF (10th)	0–1
D	Sat Oct 3	vs	Valor Soccer (11th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Eastside FC (7th)	0–4
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	0–7
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	0–5
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	PacNW SC (8th)	0–7
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Washington Premier (6th)	0–8

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black · Sat Nov 7 at Seattle United · Sun Nov 8 at XF See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Seattle United (1st)	0–9	0%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	XF (10th)	0–2	11%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Northwest United -RL (2nd)	0–5	1%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B13/14 Black (4th)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Valor Soccer (11th)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Jan 10	at	Eastside FC (7th)	0–4	2%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Seattle United (1st)	0–8	0%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Washington Premier (6th)	0–5	1%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	PacNW SC (8th)	0–5	1%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	0–5	1%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (9th)	0–3	4%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Columbia Premier SC (5th)	0–4	2%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.20 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.