Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 04:30 PM
Keystone Athletic 1–2 Lancaster FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 27% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 50% home, 23% draw, 27% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Keystone Athletic | Lancaster FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-1 | 1-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L | L D W D |
| Biggest win | 3–0 at Eagle FC | 2–1 at Keystone Athletic |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Lancaster FC | 1–2 vs FC Copa Academy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.32 | +0.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.13 | +0.12 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 1–2 (home for Keystone Athletic)
Common opponents: FC Copa Academy — Keystone Athletic 0–0; Lancaster FC 1–2.
What's at stake
| Keystone Athletic | Lancaster FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 4th |
| Games left | 11 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 78% | 61% |
| Chance of 1st | 6% | 2% |
| Average finish | 3.4 | 4.1 |
How the results connect
4 chains
3 favour Keystone Athletic, 1 favour Lancaster FC; average margin +1.8 goals toward Keystone Athletic.
- -1Keystone Athletic lost to Lancaster FC 1–2
- +1Keystone Athletic drew with FC Copa Academy 0–0 → FC Copa Academy beat Lancaster FC 2–1
- +3Keystone Athletic beat Eagle FC 3–0 → Eagle FC lost to FC Copa Academy 1–2 → FC Copa Academy beat Lancaster FC 2–1
- +4Keystone Athletic beat Eagle FC 3–0 → Eagle FC beat PA Rush 1–0 → PA Rush drew with Lancaster FC 3–3
Full picture: Keystone Athletic · Lancaster FC · Northeast BU14 standings