Baltimore Celtic
ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU15 · 14 teams · Baltimore Celtic Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Dec 19, TBD
Venue TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Baltimore Celtic | PSA Monmouth |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
PSA Monmouth average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the PSA Monmouth game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Baltimore Celtic – PSA Monmouth) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Dec 14 – Sun Dec 20); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 7th▼ down 6 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 7th▼ down 6 | 7th▼ down 6 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
14th▼ down 13 | 14th▼ down 13 | 14th▼ down 13 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 9%
- 2nd 7%
- 3rd 7%
- 4th 7%
- 5th 7%
- 6th 8%
- 7th 7%
- 8th 7%
- 9th 7%
- 10th 7%
- 11th 7%
- 12th 7%
- 13th 6%
- 14th 7%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 1st hardest of 14
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Dec 19 TBD |
PSA Monmouth 11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 28 TBD |
Maryland United FC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
FC DELCO 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Delaware FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
World Class FC 14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.51 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 27 01:45 PM |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.48 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Potomac Soccer Association 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.45 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Pipeline SC 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
PDA 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.48 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 12:00 PM |
SJEB FC 12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Tuckahoe Farm |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Match Fit Surf 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
STA 13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.42 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 vs PSA Monmouth · Sun Feb 28 vs Maryland United FC · Sun Mar 7 at FC DELCO See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Delaware FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 at Maryland United FC · Sun Mar 14 at Baltimore Celtic · Sat Mar 27 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC DELCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 vs World Class FC · Sun Mar 7 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sun Mar 14 vs Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Maryland United FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 vs Delaware FC · Sun Feb 28 at Baltimore Celtic · Sun Mar 7 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Match Fit Surf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Mar 7 at PDA · Sun Mar 14 vs World Class FC · Sat Apr 10 vs PSA Monmouth See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | PDA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Feb 28 vs World Class FC · Sun Mar 7 vs Match Fit Surf See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 13 at STA · Sun Feb 28 at SJEB FC · Sun Mar 7 vs PSA Monmouth See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 13 vs SJEB FC · Sun Feb 28 at PSA Monmouth · Sun Mar 7 vs Maryland United FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Pipeline SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 at PDA · Sun Mar 7 vs STA · Sun Mar 14 vs SJEB FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Potomac Soccer Association | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 6 vs STA · Sun Mar 7 vs SJEB FC · Sun Mar 14 vs PSA Monmouth See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | PSA Monmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 at Baltimore Celtic · Sun Feb 28 vs Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sun Mar 7 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | SJEB FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 13 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sun Feb 28 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sun Mar 7 at Potomac Soccer Association See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | STA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 13 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Mar 6 at Potomac Soccer Association · Sun Mar 7 at Pipeline SC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | World Class FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 at FC DELCO · Sun Feb 28 at PDA · Sun Mar 14 at Match Fit Surf See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.