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Chicago Magic Soccer Club

ECNL Regional League Boys · Midwest BU14 · 8 teams · Chicago Magic Soccer Club (all teams)

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1st
7-0-0 record · 7 played
3.00 points per game
+19 goal diff · 21–2
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.0
-0.33 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Apr 3, TBD

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Chicago Magic Soccer Club
1st · 3.00 PPG
at

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.6 for, 0.8 against · 1.95 expected points)

Season so farChicago Magic Soccer ClubEclipse Select Soccer Club
Position1st2nd
Record (W-D-L)7-0-03-0-1
Points per game3.002.25
Goals for / game3.01.5
Goals against / game0.30.8
Clean sheets51
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W W W WW W W L
Biggest win6–1 at MN Thunder Academy2–0 vs Indiana Elite FC
Worst loss—0–1 at Chicago Magic Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.80+0.50
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.33+0.30

Already played this season: Sat Sep 26 1–0 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club (W)

Common opponents: FC Wisconsin — we 3–0; they 2–1. Indiana Elite FC — we 4–0; they 2–0. Chicago Inter — we 4–1; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Eclipse Select Soccer Club concede only 0.8/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 57% / draw 25% / loss 18%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • They arrive in form
    Eclipse Select Soccer Club have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff TBD at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eclipse Select Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chicago Magic Soccer Club – Eclipse Select Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Mar 29 – Sun Apr 4); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.75 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.63 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

99% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.0 average finish
  1. 1st 99%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

19 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Chicago Magic Soccer Club to Eclipse Select Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

13 favour us
4 even
2 favour them
+1.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–0 4–1 1–2 4–0 0–2 3–0 1–2 6–1 0–3 1–0 5–5 2–4 1–2 0–3 0–5 3–2 2–0 3–3 Chicago Magic Socce… 1st Chicago Inter 4th Indiana Elite FC 5th FC Wisconsin 7th MN Thunder Academy 8th St Croix 6th Rockford Raptors FC 3rd Eclipse Select Socc… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 17 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 9 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.30 · 8th hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
1–0 1.95 2.87 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
03:00 PM
Rockford Raptors FC
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +1
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–0 2.20 2.79 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD
St Croix
6th · 1-1-2 · GD -2
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–0 2.65 2.78 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
TBD
MN Thunder Academy
8th · 0-0-4 · GD -16
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
4–0 2.93 2.79 Bank it
Sat May 1
TBD
Indiana Elite FC
5th · 3-0-4 · GD -2
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
2–0 2.49 2.77 Bank it
Sun May 2
TBD
Chicago Inter
4th · 3-0-4 · GD -1
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
2–0 2.58 2.75 Bank it
Sun May 9
TBD
FC Wisconsin
7th · 1-2-4 · GD -2
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.50 2.74 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Chicago Magic Soccer Club 7700 212+19 213.00 WWWWW -0.33 -0.30 100% 1.0
2 Eclipse Select Soccer Club 4301 63+3 92.25 LWWW +0.30 -0.29 97% 2.4
3 Rockford Raptors FC 4211 76+1 71.75 DLWW +0.30 -0.24 85% 3.3
4 Chicago Inter 7304 1314-1 91.29 WWLLL -0.00 -0.03 41% 4.9
5 Indiana Elite FC 7304 810-2 91.29 WLWLL +0.01 -0.01 27% 5.4
6 St Croix 4112 911-2 41.00 WLLD +0.36 -0.16 38% 5.0
7 FC Wisconsin 7124 1719-2 50.71 LLLWD -0.08 -0.02 13% 6.0
8 MN Thunder Academy 4004 117-16 00.00 LLLL +0.36 +0.24 0% 8.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.85 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.