Chicago Inter
ECNL Regional League Boys · Midwest BU14 · 8 teams · Chicago Inter (all teams)
Next game — Sat Apr 3, 09:45 AM
Academy of Holy Angels, South Turf 1 (11v11) ↗ · turf far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 3.0 for, 1.1 against · 2.39 expected points)
| Season so far | Chicago Inter | MN Thunder Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-4 | 0-0-4 |
| Points per game | 1.29 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 4.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L W W | L L L L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs MN Thunder Academy | — |
| Worst loss | 1–4 vs Chicago Magic Soccer Club | 0–5 vs FC Wisconsin |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.12 | -2.17 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.00 | +0.36 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 27 3–0 vs MN Thunder Academy (W)
Common opponents: Indiana Elite FC — we 1–0; they 0–3. FC Wisconsin — we 4–2; they 0–5. Chicago Magic Soccer Club — we 1–4; they 1–6.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
MN Thunder Academy average 0.2 goals/game (league avg 1.8); blanked in 3 of 4.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
MN Thunder Academy concede 4.2/game; worst result 0–5 vs FC Wisconsin.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 75% chance; likely score 2–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Confidence is low on their side
MN Thunder Academy have lost 4 straight (form: LLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:45 AM at Academy of Holy Angels.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:45 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the MN Thunder Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chicago Inter – MN Thunder Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Mar 29 – Sun Apr 4); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.50 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.50 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.25 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.13 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 11%
- 4th 27%
- 5th 26%
- 6th 21%
- 7th 13%
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.14 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Magic Soccer Club | 3.00 (+1.71) | 1st (2.74) | 33 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club | 2.25 (+0.96) | 2nd (1.94) | 23 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 3 | Rockford Raptors FC | 1.75 (+0.46) | 3rd (1.66) | 16 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection |
How the results connect
19 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Chicago Inter to MN Thunder Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.03 · 4th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Apr 3 09:45 AM |
MN Thunder Academy 8th · 0-0-4 · GD -16 |
Away far trip
Academy of Holy Angels · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
2–1 | 2.39 | 1.42 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
St Croix 6th · 1-1-2 · GD -2 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–2 | 1.27 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +3 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–1 | 1.10 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Rockford Raptors FC 3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +1 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.31 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
FC Wisconsin 7th · 1-2-4 · GD -2 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.23 | 1.36 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Chicago Magic Soccer Club 1st · 7-0-0 · GD +19 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
0–2 | 0.31 | 1.28 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Indiana Elite FC 5th · 3-0-4 · GD -2 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.60 | 1.30 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Magic Soccer Club | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | +19 | 21 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.33 | -0.30 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Apr 3 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sun Apr 4 at Rockford Raptors FC · Sat Apr 24 vs St Croix See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | +0.30 | -0.29 | 97% | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Rockford Raptors FC · Sun Nov 8 at St Croix · Sat Mar 13 at MN Thunder Academy See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Rockford Raptors FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 | 1.75 | DLWW | +0.30 | -0.24 | 86% | 3.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at St Croix · Sun Mar 14 at MN Thunder Academy See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Chicago Inter | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 9 | 1.29 | WWLLL | -0.00 | -0.03 | 40% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Apr 3 at MN Thunder Academy · Sun Apr 4 at St Croix · Sat Apr 24 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Indiana Elite FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | 1.29 | WLWLL | +0.01 | -0.01 | 27% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Apr 3 at St Croix · Sun Apr 4 at MN Thunder Academy · Sat Apr 24 vs Rockford Raptors FC See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | St Croix | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 4 | 1.00 | WLLD | +0.36 | -0.16 | 36% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Rockford Raptors FC · Sun Nov 8 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sat Mar 20 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC Wisconsin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 5 | 0.71 | LLLWD | -0.08 | -0.02 | 14% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Apr 3 at Rockford Raptors FC · Sun Apr 4 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sat Apr 24 vs MN Thunder Academy See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | MN Thunder Academy | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.36 | +0.24 | 0% | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Mar 13 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sun Mar 14 vs Rockford Raptors FC · Sat Mar 20 at Rockford Raptors FC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.85 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.