Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 11:00 AM
Mississippi Surf 3–1 Germantown Legends
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 80% chance. Pre-match odds were 80% home, 12% draw, 8% away, most likely 3–1.
| Season so far | Mississippi Surf | Germantown Legends |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-4 | 0-0-9 |
| Points per game | 1.73 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals against / game | 2.9 | 4.1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 6 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W W L | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at Lobos Rush | — |
| Worst loss | 1–10 at Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | 0–10 at Tennessee SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.70 | -2.60 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.11 | +0.05 |
Already met this season: Aug 22 3–1 (away for Mississippi Surf); Oct 4 3–1 (home for Mississippi Surf)
Common opponents: Lobos Rush — Mississippi Surf 4–1, 2–1; Germantown Legends 0–2, 0–4. Tennessee SC Murfreesboro — Mississippi Surf 3–1, 1–10; Germantown Legends 0–2. Tennessee SC — Mississippi Surf 1–6, 0–4; Germantown Legends 0–10. Alabama FC Huntsville — Mississippi Surf 3–2; Germantown Legends 0–6.
What's at stake
| Mississippi Surf | Germantown Legends | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 10th |
| Games left | 5 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 8% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.3 | 9.3 |
How the results connect
70 chains
47 favour Mississippi Surf, 19 favour Germantown Legends, 4 even; average margin +2.5 goals toward Mississippi Surf.
- +2Mississippi Surf beat Germantown Legends 3–1
- +2Mississippi Surf beat Germantown Legends 3–1
- +3Mississippi Surf beat Lobos Rush 2–1 → Lobos Rush beat Germantown Legends 2–0
- +4Mississippi Surf beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–1 → Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Germantown Legends 2–0
- +5Mississippi Surf beat Lobos Rush 2–1 → Lobos Rush beat Germantown Legends 4–0
- +5Mississippi Surf lost to Tennessee SC 1–6 → Tennessee SC beat Germantown Legends 10–0
Full picture: Mississippi Surf · Germantown Legends · Mid-America BU18/19 standings