Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 03:00 PM
Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 5–4 Alabama FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 29% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 29% home, 17% draw, 53% away, most likely 2–2.
| Season so far | Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | Alabama FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-1-2 | 6-1-1 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.38 |
| Goals for / game | 4.0 | 4.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D L | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 9–0 at Mississippi Rush United | 9–0 vs Mississippi Rush United |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at Mississippi Surf | 4–5 at Tennessee SC Murfreesboro |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.61 | +2.61 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.32 | -0.18 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 5–4 (home for Tennessee SC Murfreesboro)
Common opponents: Tennessee SC — Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–0, 1–2; Alabama FC 2–1. Lobos Rush — Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–1; Alabama FC 6–0. Germantown Legends — Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 2–0; Alabama FC 4–0. Mississippi Rush United — Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 9–0, 2–2; Alabama FC 9–0. Alabama FC Huntsville — Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 4–3; Alabama FC 7–0.
What's at stake
| Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | Alabama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 1st |
| Games left | 6 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 7% | 88% |
| Average finish | 2.6 | 1.2 |
How the results connect
73 chains
28 favour Tennessee SC Murfreesboro, 43 favour Alabama FC, 2 even; average margin -1.7 goals toward Tennessee SC Murfreesboro.
- +1Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Alabama FC 5–4
- 0Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Mississippi Rush United 9–0 → Mississippi Rush United lost to Alabama FC 0–9
- -2Tennessee SC Murfreesboro lost to Tennessee SC 1–2 → Tennessee SC lost to Alabama FC 1–2
- -2Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Germantown Legends 2–0 → Germantown Legends lost to Alabama FC 0–4
- +2Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Tennessee SC 3–0 → Tennessee SC lost to Alabama FC 1–2
- -4Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Lobos Rush 3–1 → Lobos Rush lost to Alabama FC 0–6
Full picture: Tennessee SC Murfreesboro · Alabama FC · Mid-America BU18/19 standings