Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 12:00 PM
Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 10–1 Mississippi Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 82% chance. Pre-match odds were 82% home, 9% draw, 8% away, most likely 4–1.
| Season so far | Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | Mississippi Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-1-2 | 6-1-4 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.73 |
| Goals for / game | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.6 | 2.9 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D L | D W W W L |
| Biggest win | 9–0 at Mississippi Rush United | 4–1 at Lobos Rush |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at Mississippi Surf | 1–10 at Tennessee SC Murfreesboro |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.61 | -0.70 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.32 | +0.11 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 1–3 (away for Tennessee SC Murfreesboro); Sep 27 10–1 (home for Tennessee SC Murfreesboro)
Common opponents: Tennessee SC — Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–0, 1–2; Mississippi Surf 1–6, 0–4. Lobos Rush — Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–1; Mississippi Surf 4–1, 2–1. Germantown Legends — Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 2–0; Mississippi Surf 3–1, 3–1. Alabama FC Huntsville — Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 4–3; Mississippi Surf 3–2.
What's at stake
| Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | Mississippi Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 5th |
| Games left | 6 | 5 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 9% |
| Chance of 1st | 7% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.6 | 5.3 |
How the results connect
80 chains
54 favour Tennessee SC Murfreesboro, 20 favour Mississippi Surf, 6 even; average margin +3.0 goals toward Tennessee SC Murfreesboro.
- -2Tennessee SC Murfreesboro lost to Mississippi Surf 1–3
- +9Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Mississippi Surf 10–1
- 0Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Alabama FC Huntsville 4–3 → Alabama FC Huntsville lost to Mississippi Surf 2–3
- 0Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Germantown Legends 2–0 → Germantown Legends lost to Mississippi Surf 1–3
- 0Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Germantown Legends 2–0 → Germantown Legends lost to Mississippi Surf 1–3
- -1Tennessee SC Murfreesboro beat Lobos Rush 3–1 → Lobos Rush lost to Mississippi Surf 1–4
Full picture: Tennessee SC Murfreesboro · Mississippi Surf · Mid-America BU18/19 standings