Result · Saturday, Sep 12, 12:00 PM
Mississippi Surf 3–1 Tennessee SC Murfreesboro
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 14% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 14% home, 13% draw, 74% away, most likely 1–3.
| Season so far | Mississippi Surf | Tennessee SC Murfreesboro |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-4 | 7-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.73 | 2.20 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W W L | W W W D L |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at Lobos Rush | 9–0 at Mississippi Rush United |
| Worst loss | 1–10 at Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | 1–3 at Mississippi Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.70 | +1.61 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.11 | -0.32 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 3–1 (home for Mississippi Surf); Sep 27 1–10 (away for Mississippi Surf)
Common opponents: Germantown Legends — Mississippi Surf 3–1, 3–1; Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 2–0. Lobos Rush — Mississippi Surf 4–1, 2–1; Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–1. Tennessee SC — Mississippi Surf 1–6, 0–4; Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–0, 1–2. Alabama FC Huntsville — Mississippi Surf 3–2; Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 4–3.
What's at stake
| Mississippi Surf | Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 2nd |
| Games left | 5 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 8% | 98% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 6% |
| Average finish | 5.3 | 2.6 |
How the results connect
80 chains
20 favour Mississippi Surf, 54 favour Tennessee SC Murfreesboro, 6 even; average margin -3.0 goals toward Mississippi Surf.
- +2Mississippi Surf beat Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–1
- -9Mississippi Surf lost to Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 1–10
- 0Mississippi Surf beat Alabama FC Huntsville 3–2 → Alabama FC Huntsville lost to Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–4
- 0Mississippi Surf beat Germantown Legends 3–1 → Germantown Legends lost to Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 0–2
- 0Mississippi Surf beat Germantown Legends 3–1 → Germantown Legends lost to Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 0–2
- -1Mississippi Surf beat Lobos Rush 2–1 → Lobos Rush lost to Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 1–3
Full picture: Mississippi Surf · Tennessee SC Murfreesboro · Mid-America BU18/19 standings