Preview · Sunday, May 9, TBD
St. Louis Stars SC vs Kansas City Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.7 home, 2.2 away)
| Season so far | St. Louis Stars SC | Kansas City Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-3 | 7-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.88 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 6.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 8–0 at Kansas Rush | 10–1 at Union KC Soccer Club Red |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Southwest MO Rush | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.24 | +3.70 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.51 | -0.61 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 1–2 (away for St. Louis Stars SC)
Common opponents: Toca Fusion Elite — St. Louis Stars SC 1–2; Kansas City Surf 4–0. Union KC Soccer Club Red — St. Louis Stars SC 2–0; Kansas City Surf 10–1. Union KC Soccer Club Navy — St. Louis Stars SC 7–0; Kansas City Surf 7–1. FC Wichita — St. Louis Stars SC 6–0; Kansas City Surf 5–0. Kansas City Athletics — St. Louis Stars SC 6–0; Kansas City Surf 6–0.
What's at stake
| St. Louis Stars SC | Kansas City Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 1st |
| Games left | 10 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 83% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 94% |
| Average finish | 3.5 | 1.1 |
How the results connect
35 chains
10 favour St. Louis Stars SC, 21 favour Kansas City Surf, 4 even; average margin -2.5 goals toward St. Louis Stars SC.
- -1St. Louis Stars SC lost to Kansas City Surf 1–2
- 0St. Louis Stars SC beat Kansas City Athletics 6–0 → Kansas City Athletics lost to Kansas City Surf 0–6
- +1St. Louis Stars SC beat FC Wichita 6–0 → FC Wichita lost to Kansas City Surf 0–5
- +1St. Louis Stars SC beat Union KC Soccer Club Navy 7–0 → Union KC Soccer Club Navy lost to Kansas City Surf 1–7
- -5St. Louis Stars SC lost to Toca Fusion Elite 1–2 → Toca Fusion Elite lost to Kansas City Surf 0–4
- -7St. Louis Stars SC beat Union KC Soccer Club Red 2–0 → Union KC Soccer Club Red lost to Kansas City Surf 1–10
Full picture: St. Louis Stars SC · Kansas City Surf · Heartland BU13 standings