Ohio Premier
ECNL Regional League Boys · GLA BU18/19 · 10 teams · Ohio Premier (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 15, TBD
Venue TBD
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)
| Season so far | Ohio Premier | Columbus Force |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Columbus Force average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff TBD at TBD.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Ohio Galaxies FC sit 9th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Ohio Galaxies FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Columbus Force game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Ohio Premier – Columbus Force) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 8 | 8th▲ up 2 | 8th▲ up 2 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 9 | 1st▲ up 9 | 7th▲ up 3 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 8 | 8th▲ up 2 | 8th▲ up 2 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 10th— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 11%
- 2nd 9%
- 3rd 10%
- 4th 11%
- 5th 9%
- 6th 10%
- 7th 10%
- 8th 11%
- 9th 10%
- 10th 11%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blast FC Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 2 | Cincinnati Elite FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 3 | Columbus Force | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Elite FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 5 | FC Pride Elite | 0.00 (+0.00) | 9th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 6 | Lexington Sporting Club | 0.00 (+0.00) | 10th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 7 | Louisville City Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 8 | Ohio Elite SA | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 9 | Ohio Galaxies FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 7th (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 10th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Jan 1 TBD no score posted |
Blast FC Academy 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Mon Jan 1 TBD no score posted |
Elite FC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 TBD |
Columbus Force 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 04:00 PM |
Ohio Galaxies FC 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Beavercreek High School |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 04:00 PM |
FC Pride Elite 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Pride Performance Center (Turf) · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 19 10:00 AM |
Ohio Elite SA 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home OP Training Facility |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 20 10:00 AM |
Cincinnati Elite FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home OP Training Facility |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 13 11:00 AM |
Lexington Sporting Club 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Lexington Sporting Club Youth Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 14 01:00 PM |
Louisville City Academy 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Lynn Family Sports Vision & Training Facility |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 20 10:00 AM |
Columbus Force 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home OP Training Facility |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 02:00 PM |
Ohio Galaxies FC 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home OP Training Facility |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.42 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 02:00 PM |
FC Pride Elite 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home OP Training Facility |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Blast FC Academy 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 09:00 AM |
Elite FC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Shelly Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 03:30 PM |
Ohio Elite SA 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Ohio Elite Training Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.40 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Cincinnati Elite FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 10:00 AM |
Lexington Sporting Club 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home OP Training Facility |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 09:00 AM |
Louisville City Academy 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home OP Training Facility |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Blast FC Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Mon Jan 1 at Ohio Premier · Mon Jan 1 at Columbus Force · Sun Nov 15 at Elite FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Cincinnati Elite FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 at Ohio Elite SA · Sat Dec 5 at Louisville City Academy · Sun Dec 6 at Lexington Sporting Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Columbus Force | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Elite FC · Mon Jan 1 vs Blast FC Academy · Sun Nov 15 vs Ohio Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Elite FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Mon Jan 1 at Columbus Force · Mon Jan 1 at Ohio Premier · Sun Nov 15 vs Blast FC Academy See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC Pride Elite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 vs Columbus Force · Sun Dec 6 vs Ohio Premier · Sat Dec 12 at Ohio Elite SA See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Lexington Sporting Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 vs Louisville City Academy · Sat Dec 5 vs Ohio Elite SA · Sun Dec 6 vs Cincinnati Elite FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Louisville City Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 at Lexington Sporting Club · Sat Dec 5 vs Cincinnati Elite FC · Sun Dec 6 vs Ohio Elite SA See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Ohio Elite SA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 vs Cincinnati Elite FC · Sat Dec 5 at Lexington Sporting Club · Sun Dec 6 at Louisville City Academy See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Ohio Galaxies FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 vs Ohio Premier · Sun Dec 6 vs Columbus Force · Sat Dec 12 at Cincinnati Elite FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Ohio Premier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Blast FC Academy · Mon Jan 1 vs Elite FC · Sun Nov 15 at Columbus Force See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.