T3FC West
ECNL Regional League Boys · GLA BU15 · 9 teams · T3 Futbol Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 15, 10:00 AM
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)
| Season so far | T3FC West | Manta |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Manta average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Away game
Kickoff 10:00 AM at SMS.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
-
What a win does
Pacesetter Soccer Club sit 8th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Pacesetter Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Manta game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (T3FC West – Manta) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 7 | 6th▲ up 3 | 6th▲ up 3 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 8 | 1st▲ up 8 | 5th▲ up 4 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 7 | 6th▲ up 3 | 6th▲ up 3 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 11%
- 2nd 11%
- 3rd 11%
- 4th 12%
- 5th 10%
- 6th 12%
- 7th 11%
- 8th 11%
- 9th 12%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canton Force | 0.00 (+0.00) | 9th (1.40) | Already ahead |
| 2 | Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 3 | GTFC Impact | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 5 | Manta | 0.00 (+0.00) | 8th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 6 | Nationals SC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.42) | Already ahead |
| 7 | Nationals SC Capital Area Grey | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 8 | Pacesetter Soccer Club | 0.00 (+0.00) | 7th (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 9th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 15 10:00 AM |
Manta 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away SMS |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 08:30 AM |
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Avondale High School |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 TBD |
GTFC Impact 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.35 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 27 12:00 PM |
Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Serpentini Stadium · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
GTFC Impact 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.31 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
Pacesetter Soccer Club 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.30 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.34 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Nationals SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.37 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Pacesetter Soccer Club 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.39 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Canton Force 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Canton Force 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 06:00 PM |
Nationals SC Capital Area Grey 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Capital Sportsplex Lansing |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Nationals SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Nationals SC Capital Area Grey 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.39 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Manta 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canton Force | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 at Manta · Sun Nov 22 at Nationals SC Capital Area Grey · Wed Dec 2 at Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Wed Dec 2 vs Canton Force · Sat Dec 5 at Manta · Sat Dec 12 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | GTFC Impact | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sun Dec 6 at T3FC West · Sat Dec 12 at Manta See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Dec 5 vs T3FC West · Sun Dec 6 vs Canton Force See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Manta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Canton Force · Sun Nov 15 vs T3FC West · Sat Dec 5 vs Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Nationals SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Dec 12 vs Canton Force · Sat Mar 6 at Manta See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Nationals SC Capital Area Grey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 22 vs Canton Force · Sun Dec 6 at Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Mar 6 at Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Pacesetter Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 at Nationals SC · Sun Nov 15 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central · Sat Dec 5 at GTFC Impact See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | T3FC West | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 at Manta · Sat Dec 5 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central · Sun Dec 6 vs GTFC Impact See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.