Nationals SC
ECNL Regional League Boys · GLA BU15 · 9 teams · Nationals (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 14, TBD
Venue TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Nationals SC | Pacesetter Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Pacesetter Soccer Club average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Manta sit 5th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Manta on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Pacesetter Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Nationals SC – Pacesetter Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 5 | 5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 5 | 1st▲ up 5 | 4th▲ up 2 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 5 | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
9th▼ down 3 | 9th▼ down 3 | 9th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 12%
- 2nd 11%
- 3rd 11%
- 4th 11%
- 5th 12%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 11%
- 8th 11%
- 9th 10%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canton Force | 0.00 (+0.00) | 9th (1.40) | Already ahead |
| 2 | Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 3 | GTFC Impact | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 5 | Manta | 0.00 (+0.00) | 8th (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 6th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 14 TBD |
Pacesetter Soccer Club 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 12 TBD |
Canton Force 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 10:00 AM |
Manta 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away SMS |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Canton Force 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
T3FC West 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
GTFC Impact 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.34 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
GTFC Impact 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.35 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Manta 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.39 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Nationals SC Capital Area Grey 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Canton Force 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.42 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
T3FC West 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Pacesetter Soccer Club 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 02:00 PM |
Nationals SC Capital Area Grey 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Capital Sportsplex Lansing |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.42 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canton Force | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 at Manta · Sun Nov 22 at Nationals SC Capital Area Grey · Wed Dec 2 at Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Wed Dec 2 vs Canton Force · Sat Dec 5 at Manta · Sat Dec 12 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | GTFC Impact | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sun Dec 6 at T3FC West · Sat Dec 12 at Manta See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Dec 5 vs T3FC West · Sun Dec 6 vs Canton Force See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Manta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Canton Force · Sun Nov 15 vs T3FC West · Sat Dec 5 vs Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Nationals SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Dec 12 vs Canton Force · Sat Mar 6 at Manta See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Nationals SC Capital Area Grey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 22 vs Canton Force · Sun Dec 6 at Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Mar 6 at Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Pacesetter Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 at Nationals SC · Sun Nov 15 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central · Sat Dec 5 at GTFC Impact See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | T3FC West | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 at Manta · Sat Dec 5 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central · Sun Dec 6 vs GTFC Impact See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.