Canton Force
ECNL Regional League Boys · GLA BU14 · 9 teams · Canton Akron United Force (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 04:00 PM
Rossford Soccer Center Dome, Indoor 11v11 ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.9 against · 1.37 expected points)
| Season so far | Canton Force | GTFC Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-2-2 | 1-0-3 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals against / game | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | D L L D | L L W L |
| Biggest win | — | 2–1 at T3FC West |
| Worst loss | 2–5 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central | 0–3 at Nationals SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.55 | -0.55 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.17 | +0.80 |
Common opponents: Nationals SC — we 0–1; they 0–3. Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central — we 2–5; they 0–2. T3FC West — we 2–2; they 2–1.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
GTFC Impact average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 3 of 4.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs Nationals SC.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 39%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 04:00 PM at Rossford Soccer Center Dome.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy sit 7th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.50.A point moves us above Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the GTFC Impact game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Canton Force – GTFC Impact) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.60 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.00 PPG |
5th▲ up 3 | 5th▲ up 3 | 6th▲ up 2 |
| Draw 0.60 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.40 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 2%
- 5th 7%
- 6th 28%
- 7th 36%
- 8th 20%
- 9th 5%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.41 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manta | 3.00 (+2.50) | 1st (2.61) | 49 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central | 2.25 (+1.75) | 4th (1.65) | 37 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 3 | T3FC West | 2.17 (+1.67) | 2nd (1.98) | 35 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 4 | Nationals SC | 1.80 (+1.30) | 3rd (1.66) | 29 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 5 | Nationals SC Capital Area Grey | 0.75 (+0.25) | 5th (1.56) | A point next game |
| 6 | GTFC Impact | 0.75 (+0.25) | 6th (1.06) | A point next game |
| 7 | Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy | 0.67 (+0.17) | 8th (0.83) | A point next game |
How the results connect
11 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Canton Force to GTFC Impact through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.01 · 4th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Jan 1 TBD no score posted |
Pacesetter Soccer Club 9th · 0-0-3 · GD -14 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
4–2 | 2.27 | 0.85 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 04:00 PM |
GTFC Impact 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
Rossford Soccer Center Dome |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.37 | 0.94 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 10:00 AM |
Manta 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away far trip
SMS |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.24 | 0.84 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +1 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.18 | 0.88 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Pacesetter Soccer Club 9th · 0-0-3 · GD -14 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
4–2 | 1.93 | 1.00 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +1 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
2–3 | 0.87 | 0.99 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
GTFC Impact 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–1 | 1.66 | 1.05 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Nationals SC Capital Area Grey 5th · 1-0-3 · GD +2 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
2–2 | 1.02 | 1.05 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Manta 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +17 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.38 | 0.99 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy 7th · 1-1-4 · GD -10 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
3–2 | 1.82 | 1.05 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Nationals SC 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +1 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.90 | 1.04 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 10:00 AM |
Nationals SC Capital Area Grey 5th · 1-0-3 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Hope Sports Complex · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–3 | 0.73 | 1.02 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
T3FC West 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +12 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.48 | 0.99 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manta | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | +17 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.47 | -0.21 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs T3FC West · Sun Nov 8 vs Canton Force · Sun Dec 13 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | +0.10 | -0.10 | 70% | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 vs Nationals SC · Sat Dec 12 at Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | T3FC West | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 13 | 2.17 | WLWWD | -0.66 | +0.08 | 96% | 2.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at GTFC Impact · Sun Nov 1 at Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at Manta See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Nationals SC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | LWWLW | +0.13 | -0.20 | 69% | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at GTFC Impact · Sun Nov 8 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Nationals SC Capital Area Grey | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 3 | 0.75 | LWLL | +0.71 | -0.40 | 57% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy · Sun Nov 8 at GTFC Impact · Sat Mar 13 at Nationals SC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | GTFC Impact | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 | 0.75 | LWLL | +0.80 | -0.27 | 4% | 6.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy · Sat Oct 31 vs T3FC West See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 4 | 0.67 | LLLLW | +0.12 | +0.02 | 1% | 7.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Nationals SC Capital Area Grey · Sun Oct 25 at GTFC Impact · Sat Dec 12 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan Central See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Canton Force | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 2 | 0.50 | DLLD | +0.17 | -0.01 | 3% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at GTFC Impact · Sun Nov 8 at Manta See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Pacesetter Soccer Club | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.60 | +0.12 | 0% | 8.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Canton Force · Sat Oct 24 vs GTFC Impact · Sun Oct 25 at Nationals SC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.