TableChase Clubs

Parkland Soccer Club

ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU14 · 10 teams · Parkland Soccer Club (all teams)

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5th
4-2-4 record · 10 played
1.40 points per game
+7 goal diff · 25–18
WLWDLlast 5
26% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.1
-0.09 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:15 PM

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Parkland Soccer Club
5th · 1.40 PPG
at
Davie United SC
4th · 1.67 PPG

Bamford Sports Complex, United 2 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.4 against · 1.14 expected points)

Season so farParkland Soccer ClubDavie United SC
Position5th4th
Record (W-D-L)4-2-43-1-2
Points per game1.401.67
Goals for / game2.52.8
Goals against / game1.81.5
Clean sheets31
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)L D W L WW L W D W
Biggest win9–2 at Wellington SC5–1 at AC Florida Tropical
Worst loss1–5 vs Strikers Miami FC0–2 at Fort Lauderdale United FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.55+0.76
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.09-0.57

Common opponents: Doral Soccer Club — we 1–1, 2–2; they 1–2. Athletic Club Florida — we 3–0; they 6–2. SWFL PREMIER FC — we 2–0; they 5–2. Cape Coral SA — we 0–2; they 0–0. AC Florida Tropical — we 4–0; they 5–1. Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 1–3; they 0–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Cape Coral SA.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 32%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:15 PM at Bamford Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Davie United SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Parkland Soccer Club – Davie United SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.27 PPG
5th— holds 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1
Win
1.55 PPG
4th▲ up 1 5th— holds 5th— holds
Draw
1.36 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Loss
1.27 PPG
5th— holds 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
26% top 4
74% below the top 4
5.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 4%
  4. 4th 22%
  5. 5th 43%
  6. 6th 22%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.11 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Fort Lauderdale United FC 2.63 (+1.23) 1st (2.46) 34 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Strikers Miami FC 2.29 (+0.89) 2nd (2.15) 28 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Cape Coral SA 2.00 (+0.60) 3rd (2.05) 22 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
4 Davie United SC 1.67 (+0.27) 4th (1.70) 17 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection

How the results connect

39 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Parkland Soccer Club to Davie United SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

15 favour us
6 even
18 favour them
-0.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 2–0 4–0 1–5 2–2 2–1 2–0 2–5 3–0 2–6 1–1 0–2 0–0 1–3 6–1 0–5 2–3 1–1 Parkland Soccer Club 5th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 1st AC Florida Tropical 9th Doral Soccer Club 6th SWFL PREMIER FC 8th Athletic Club Flori… 10th Cape Coral SA 3rd Strikers Miami FC 2nd Davie United SC 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 5th 10th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.22 · 6th hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:15 PM
Davie United SC
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +8
Away far trip
Bamford Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.14 1.38 Upside
Sun Nov 1
11:45 AM
AC Florida Tropical
9th · 0-0-4 · GD -20
Away far trip
Tropical Park
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
3–1 2.65 1.48 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
01:30 PM
Davie United SC
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +8
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–2 1.45 1.48 Upside
Sun Mar 7
01:00 PM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
1st · 7-0-1 · GD +26
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.70 1.42 Upside
Sat Apr 3
01:00 PM
Cape Coral SA
3rd · 3-3-0 · GD +9
Away far trip
Cape Coral Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.88 1.39 Upside
Sun Apr 4
09:00 AM
SWFL PREMIER FC
8th · 2-1-4 · GD -10
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park
●●○○○ Lean win
58%
2–1 1.93 1.42 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
09:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
10th · 0-0-5 · GD -24
Away
North Community Park
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–1 2.64 1.49 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
01:30 PM
Wellington SC
7th · 2-0-4 · GD -6
Home
Terramar Park
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
4–2 2.21 1.53 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fort Lauderdale United FC 8701 315+26 212.63 WWWLW -0.49 -0.19 100% 1.2
2 Strikers Miami FC 7511 209+11 162.29 LDWWW +0.14 -0.40 99% 2.4
3 Cape Coral SA 6330 134+9 122.00 DWWWD +0.20 -0.41 98% 2.8
4 Davie United SC 6312 179+8 101.67 WDWLW -0.57 -0.05 64% 4.3
5 Parkland Soccer Club 10424 2518+7 141.40 WLWDL -0.09 -0.22 26% 5.1
6 Doral Soccer Club 7223 1213-1 81.14 WLLDL +0.31 -0.32 10% 5.9
7 Wellington SC 6204 1824-6 61.00 LWLLL +0.33 -0.17 2% 7.2
8 SWFL PREMIER FC 7214 1020-10 71.00 LLLWW +0.69 -0.48 1% 7.1
9 AC Florida Tropical 4004 121-20 00.00 LLLL +0.87 +0.00 0% 9.5
10 Athletic Club Florida 5005 226-24 00.00 LLLLL +0.80 -0.04 0% 9.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.