Doral Soccer Club
ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU14 · 10 teams · Doral SC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 10:00 AM
Village Park , Field 14 ↗ far trip
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.8 for, 2.6 against · 1.52 expected points)
| Season so far | Doral Soccer Club | Wellington SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-3 | 2-0-4 |
| Points per game | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 4.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L D L L W | L L L W L |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at AC Florida Tropical | 8–0 vs Athletic Club Florida |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Cape Coral SA | 2–9 vs Parkland Soccer Club |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | -0.63 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.31 | +0.33 |
Common opponents: Parkland Soccer Club — we 1–1, 2–2; they 2–9. Cape Coral SA — we 0–3; they 2–6. SWFL PREMIER FC — we 1–3; they 4–1. Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 1–3; they 0–2.
Game plan
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They leak goals — be greedy
Wellington SC concede 4.0/game; worst result 2–9 vs Parkland Soccer Club.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Cape Coral SA.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 45% / draw 17% / loss 38%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
Wellington SC have lost 3 straight (form: LWLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 10:00 AM at Village Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Wellington SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Doral Soccer Club – Wellington SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.13 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Win 1.38 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Draw 1.13 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Loss 1.00 PPG |
7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 8%
- 5th 23%
- 6th 37%
- 7th 21%
- 8th 9%
- 9th
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.28 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 2.63 (+1.49) | 1st (2.46) | 40 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Strikers Miami FC | 2.29 (+1.15) | 2nd (2.15) | 34 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 3 | Cape Coral SA | 2.00 (+0.86) | 3rd (2.05) | 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 4 | Davie United SC | 1.67 (+0.53) | 4th (1.70) | 23 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 5 | Parkland Soccer Club | 1.40 (+0.26) | 5th (1.53) | 18 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
How the results connect
34 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Doral Soccer Club to Wellington SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
13 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.32 · 7th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 10:00 AM |
Wellington SC 7th · 2-0-4 · GD -6 |
Away far trip
Village Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–2 | 1.52 | 1.19 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 10:30 AM |
Strikers Miami FC 2nd · 5-1-1 · GD +11 |
Away Kendall Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.72 | 1.14 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 12:30 PM |
Davie United SC 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +8 |
Home Morgan Levy Park Doral |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–2 | 1.16 | 1.14 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 7 10:30 AM |
Wellington SC 7th · 2-0-4 · GD -6 |
Home Morgan Levy Park Doral |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
3–2 | 1.86 | 1.21 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 20 10:30 AM |
Athletic Club Florida 10th · 0-0-5 · GD -24 |
Home Morgan Levy Park Doral |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
3–0 | 2.60 | 1.32 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 11:00 AM |
Fort Lauderdale United FC 1st · 7-0-1 · GD +26 |
Away far trip
Autonation Field at U School |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
0–3 | 0.37 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 09:00 AM |
Athletic Club Florida 10th · 0-0-5 · GD -24 |
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.42 | 1.33 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 10:30 AM |
AC Florida Tropical 9th · 0-0-4 · GD -20 |
Home Morgan Levy Park Doral |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
3–0 | 2.62 | 1.42 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
SWFL PREMIER FC 8th · 2-1-4 · GD -10 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.91 | 1.45 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 01:30 PM |
Cape Coral SA 3rd · 3-3-0 · GD +9 |
Home Morgan Levy Park Doral |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–1 | 0.90 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 05:00 PM |
Strikers Miami FC 2nd · 5-1-1 · GD +11 |
Home Morgan Levy Park Doral |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.96 | 1.39 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5 | +26 | 21 | 2.63 | WWWLW | -0.49 | -0.19 | 100% | 1.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Cape Coral SA · Sat Feb 27 vs Wellington SC · Sun Feb 28 at Strikers Miami FC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Strikers Miami FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 16 | 2.29 | LDWWW | +0.14 | -0.40 | 99% | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at AC Florida Tropical · Sun Nov 22 vs Doral Soccer Club · Sun Feb 7 at Davie United SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Cape Coral SA | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 12 | 2.00 | DWWWD | +0.20 | -0.41 | 98% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs AC Florida Tropical · Sat Oct 24 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Oct 25 vs SWFL PREMIER FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Davie United SC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 10 | 1.67 | WDWLW | -0.57 | -0.05 | 64% | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Parkland Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs AC Florida Tropical · Sat Feb 6 at Doral Soccer Club See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Parkland Soccer Club | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 18 | +7 | 14 | 1.40 | WLWDL | -0.09 | -0.22 | 26% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Davie United SC · Sun Nov 1 at AC Florida Tropical · Sat Mar 6 vs Davie United SC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Doral Soccer Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | 1.14 | WLLDL | +0.31 | -0.32 | 10% | 5.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Wellington SC · Sun Nov 22 at Strikers Miami FC · Sat Feb 6 vs Davie United SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Wellington SC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 6 | 1.00 | LWLLL | +0.33 | -0.17 | 2% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AC Florida Tropical · Sun Nov 1 vs Doral Soccer Club · Sun Feb 7 at Doral Soccer Club See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SWFL PREMIER FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 7 | 1.00 | LLLWW | +0.69 | -0.48 | 1% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Oct 18 vs AC Florida Tropical · Sun Oct 25 at Cape Coral SA See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | AC Florida Tropical | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 21 | -20 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.87 | +0.00 | 0% | 9.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Strikers Miami FC · Sat Oct 17 at Cape Coral SA · Sun Oct 18 at SWFL PREMIER FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Athletic Club Florida | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 26 | -24 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.80 | -0.04 | 0% | 9.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at SWFL PREMIER FC · Sat Oct 24 at Cape Coral SA · Sat Dec 5 at AC Florida Tropical See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.