Preview · Saturday, Oct 31, 10:55 AM
Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.2 home, 1.4 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-2 | 8-2-0 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 2.60 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D L | W D W W W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 10–1 at Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Marin FC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.59 | +1.78 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.53 | +0.01 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 0–1 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 0–2; Mustang SC 3–0. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 5–0; Mustang SC 10–1. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–0; Mustang SC 0–0. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Mustang SC 1–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 6–2; Mustang SC 1–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 1st |
| Games left | 15 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 86% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 2% | 81% |
| Average finish | 3.4 | 1.2 |
How the results connect
48 chains
19 favour Bay Area Surf, 24 favour Mustang SC, 5 even; average margin -0.4 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- -1Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- 0Bay Area Surf drew with San Juan SC 0–0 → San Juan SC drew with Mustang SC 0–0
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 6–2 → Davis Legacy drew with Mustang SC 1–1
- -4Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 5–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Mustang SC 1–10
- +5Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 6–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- -5Bay Area Surf lost to Marin FC 0–2 → Marin FC lost to Mustang SC 0–3
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU16 standings