Result · Saturday, Sep 12, 05:00 PM
Mustang SC 1–0 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 51% chance. Pre-match odds were 51% home, 25% draw, 24% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-2-0 | 4-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.86 |
| Goals for / game | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W W W | W W W D L |
| Biggest win | 10–1 at Santa Rosa United | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | — | 0–2 at Marin FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.78 | +1.59 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.01 | -0.53 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 1–0 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 1–1; Bay Area Surf 6–2. Marin FC — Mustang SC 3–0; Bay Area Surf 0–2. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 1–0; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Santa Rosa United — Mustang SC 10–1; Bay Area Surf 5–0. San Juan SC — Mustang SC 0–0; Bay Area Surf 0–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 5th |
| Games left | 11 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 86% |
| Chance of 1st | 81% | 2% |
| Average finish | 1.2 | 3.4 |
How the results connect
48 chains
24 favour Mustang SC, 19 favour Bay Area Surf, 5 even; average margin +0.4 goals toward Mustang SC.
- +1Mustang SC beat Bay Area Surf 1–0
- 0Mustang SC drew with San Juan SC 0–0 → San Juan SC drew with Bay Area Surf 0–0
- +4Mustang SC beat Santa Rosa United 10–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–5
- -4Mustang SC drew with Davis Legacy 1–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 2–6
- -5Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 1–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- +5Mustang SC beat Marin FC 3–0 → Marin FC beat Bay Area Surf 2–0
Full picture: Mustang SC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU16 standings