PDA Blue
ECNL Girls · North Atlantic GU18/19 · 10 teams · PDA Blue (North) (all teams)
Next game — Tue Mar 9, 06:45 PM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | PDA Blue | PDA White |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
PDA White average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
What a win does
Match Fit Surf sit 5th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Match Fit Surf on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Tuesday goes…
Where we'd sit after the PDA White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PDA Blue – PDA White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Mar 8 – Sun Mar 14); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 5 | 1st▲ up 5 | 1st▲ up 5 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 5 | 1st▲ up 5 | 1st▲ up 5 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 5 | 1st▲ up 5 | 1st▲ up 5 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
10th▼ down 4 | 10th▼ down 4 | 10th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 12%
- 2nd 12%
- 3rd 11%
- 4th 11%
- 5th 10%
- 6th 10%
- 7th 10%
- 8th 9%
- 9th 8%
- 10th 8%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bethesda SC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.39) | Already ahead |
| 2 | FC DELCO | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.39) | Already ahead |
| 3 | HEX FC Bucks | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.43) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Maryland United FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.43) | Already ahead |
| 5 | Match Fit Surf | 0.00 (+0.00) | 10th (1.39) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 6th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Mar 9 06:45 PM |
PDA White 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home PDA Main Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 27 12:00 PM |
FC DELCO 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home PDA Main Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Maryland United FC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 05:00 PM |
Pipeline SC 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home PDA Main Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 03:00 PM |
Bethesda SC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home PDA Main Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
HEX FC Bucks 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 01:00 PM |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home PDA Main Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.45 | Swing game |
| Sat May 22 01:00 PM |
Match Fit Surf 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home PDA Main Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bethesda SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 vs FC DELCO · Sat Apr 10 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Apr 11 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | FC DELCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 at Bethesda SC · Sun Mar 21 at Pipeline SC · Sat Mar 27 at PDA Blue See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | HEX FC Bucks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sun Mar 7 at PDA White · Sun Mar 21 vs Maryland United FC · Sat Mar 27 at Match Fit Surf See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Maryland United FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sun Mar 21 at HEX FC Bucks · Sat Mar 27 vs Pipeline SC · Sat Apr 10 vs PDA Blue See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Match Fit Surf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 at PDA White · Sat Mar 27 vs HEX FC Bucks · Sun Apr 11 vs FC DELCO See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | PDA Blue | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Tue Mar 9 vs PDA White · Sat Mar 20 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Mar 27 vs FC DELCO See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | PDA White | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sun Mar 7 vs HEX FC Bucks · Tue Mar 9 at PDA Blue · Sat Mar 20 vs Match Fit Surf See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 vs PDA Blue · Sat Mar 27 at PDA White · Sat Apr 10 at HEX FC Bucks See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 at Pipeline SC · Sat Apr 10 at PDA White · Sun Apr 11 vs Maryland United FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Pipeline SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 vs Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sun Mar 21 vs FC DELCO · Sat Mar 27 at Maryland United FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.