Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 11:00 AM
Arlington Soccer Association 1–2 NCFC Youth NC Courage
Long Bridge Park · Boeing #4 ↗ · 22202
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 61% chance. Pre-match odds were 17% home, 21% draw, 61% away, most likely 0–1.
| Season so far | Arlington Soccer Association | NCFC Youth NC Courage |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-2 | 4-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 3.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L D W L | W W W W |
| Biggest win | 2–0 vs South Carolina Surf | 8–0 at Fairfax Virginia Union |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at VDA | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.25 | +1.79 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.71 | -0.89 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 1–2 (home for Arlington Soccer Association)
Common opponents: Beach FC — Arlington Soccer Association 0–0; NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–0.
What's at stake
| Arlington Soccer Association | NCFC Youth NC Courage | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 2nd |
| Games left | 4 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 32% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 35% |
| Average finish | 5.0 | 1.8 |
How the results connect
7 chains
2 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 5 favour NCFC Youth NC Courage; average margin -0.4 goals toward Arlington Soccer Association.
- -1Arlington Soccer Association lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 1–2
- -2Arlington Soccer Association drew with Beach FC 0–0 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–2
- -1Arlington Soccer Association beat Richmond United 2–1 → Richmond United beat NCFC Youth 1–0 → NCFC Youth lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–3
- +1Arlington Soccer Association beat Richmond United 2–1 → Richmond United beat Beach FC 2–0 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–2
- -1Arlington Soccer Association drew with Beach FC 0–0 → Beach FC beat NCFC Youth 2–0 → NCFC Youth lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–3
- -3Arlington Soccer Association drew with Wilmington Hammerheads 3–3 → Wilmington Hammerheads beat Fairfax Virginia Union 5–0 → Fairfax Virginia Union lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–8
Full picture: Arlington Soccer Association · NCFC Youth NC Courage · Mid-Atlantic GU18/19 standings