Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 09:00 AM
Arlington Soccer Association 0–1 NCFC Youth NC Courage
Long Bridge Park · Boeing #4 ↗ · 22202
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 45% chance. Pre-match odds were 25% home, 30% draw, 45% away, most likely 0–1.
| Season so far | Arlington Soccer Association | NCFC Youth NC Courage |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-2 | 4-0-0 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W W L | W W W W |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Beach FC | 4–0 vs NCFC Youth |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at VDA | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.69 | +1.28 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.30 | -0.64 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 0–1 (home for Arlington Soccer Association)
Common opponents: Beach FC — Arlington Soccer Association 3–0; NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–0.
What's at stake
| Arlington Soccer Association | NCFC Youth NC Courage | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 1st |
| Games left | 4 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 86% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 55% |
| Average finish | 3.5 | 1.7 |
How the results connect
7 chains
3 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 3 favour NCFC Youth NC Courage, 1 even; average margin +0.3 goals toward Arlington Soccer Association.
- -1Arlington Soccer Association lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–1
- +1Arlington Soccer Association beat Beach FC 3–0 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–2
- 0Arlington Soccer Association beat Richmond United 1–0 → Richmond United beat Beach FC 2–1 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–2
- +1Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–0 → Wilmington Hammerheads beat Fairfax Virginia Union 1–0 → Fairfax Virginia Union lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–3
- -1Arlington Soccer Association lost to VDA 0–2 → VDA beat Beach FC 4–1 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–2
- -1Arlington Soccer Association beat Beach FC 3–0 → Beach FC drew with NCFC Youth 1–1 → NCFC Youth lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–4
Full picture: Arlington Soccer Association · NCFC Youth NC Courage · Mid-Atlantic GU16 standings