Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 11:00 AM
Arlington Soccer Association 3–0 Wilmington Hammerheads
Long Bridge Park · Boeing #4 ↗ · 22202
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 66% chance. Pre-match odds were 66% home, 23% draw, 11% away, most likely 1–0.
| Season so far | Arlington Soccer Association | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-2 | 1-0-2 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W W L | L W L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Beach FC | 1–0 at Fairfax Virginia Union |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at VDA | 0–3 at Arlington Soccer Association |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.69 | -0.51 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.30 | -0.10 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 3–0 (home for Arlington Soccer Association)
Common opponents: South Carolina Surf — Arlington Soccer Association 3–1; Wilmington Hammerheads 0–1.
What's at stake
| Arlington Soccer Association | Wilmington Hammerheads | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 7th |
| Games left | 4 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 85% | 1% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.5 | 7.5 |
How the results connect
4 chains
3 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 1 favour Wilmington Hammerheads; average margin +1.5 goals toward Arlington Soccer Association.
- +3Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–0
- +3Arlington Soccer Association beat South Carolina Surf 3–1 → South Carolina Surf beat Wilmington Hammerheads 1–0
- +1Arlington Soccer Association lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–1 → NCFC Youth NC Courage beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–0 → Fairfax Virginia Union lost to Wilmington Hammerheads 0–1
- -1Arlington Soccer Association lost to VDA 0–2 → VDA drew with South Carolina Surf 2–2 → South Carolina Surf beat Wilmington Hammerheads 1–0
Full picture: Arlington Soccer Association · Wilmington Hammerheads · Mid-Atlantic GU16 standings