Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 09:00 AM
NCFC Youth NC Courage 1–1 NCFC Youth
WRAL · Field 5 ↗ · 27616
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 23% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 49% home, 23% draw, 29% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | NCFC Youth NC Courage | NCFC Youth |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-0 | 3-2-1 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Goals for / game | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D D W W | D W L W D |
| Biggest win | 7–2 at Beach FC | 3–1 at Wilmington Hammerheads |
| Worst loss | — | 2–3 at Richmond United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.76 | +0.42 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.24 | -0.24 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 1–1 (home for NCFC Youth NC Courage)
Common opponents: Beach FC — NCFC Youth NC Courage 7–2; NCFC Youth 3–1. Fairfax Virginia Union — NCFC Youth NC Courage 1–0; NCFC Youth 2–1.
What's at stake
| NCFC Youth NC Courage | NCFC Youth | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 4th |
| Games left | 16 | 14 |
| Chance of top 4 | 60% | 25% |
| Chance of 1st | 4% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.2 | 5.3 |
How the results connect
8 chains
3 favour NCFC Youth NC Courage, 1 favour NCFC Youth, 4 even; average margin +1.4 goals toward NCFC Youth NC Courage.
- 0NCFC Youth NC Courage drew with NCFC Youth 1–1
- 0NCFC Youth NC Courage beat Fairfax Virginia Union 1–0 → Fairfax Virginia Union lost to NCFC Youth 1–2
- +3NCFC Youth NC Courage beat Beach FC 7–2 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth 1–3
- 0NCFC Youth NC Courage drew with Arlington Soccer Association 2–2 → Arlington Soccer Association lost to Richmond United 0–1 → Richmond United beat NCFC Youth 3–2
- 0NCFC Youth NC Courage beat Beach FC 7–2 → Beach FC lost to Richmond United 0–6 → Richmond United beat NCFC Youth 3–2
- -1NCFC Youth NC Courage drew with Arlington Soccer Association 2–2 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–2 → Wilmington Hammerheads lost to NCFC Youth 1–3
Full picture: NCFC Youth NC Courage · NCFC Youth · Mid-Atlantic GU13 standings