Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 08:30 AM
Fairfax Virginia Union 1–2 NCFC Youth
WT Woodson High School · Stadium Field ↗ · turf? · 22031
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 36% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 39% home, 25% draw, 36% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Fairfax Virginia Union | NCFC Youth |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-2 | 3-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.83 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L | D W L W D |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Wilmington Hammerheads | 3–1 at Wilmington Hammerheads |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs NCFC Youth | 2–3 at Richmond United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.30 | +0.42 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.08 | -0.24 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 1–2 (home for Fairfax Virginia Union)
Common opponents: NCFC Youth NC Courage — Fairfax Virginia Union 0–1; NCFC Youth 1–1. Wilmington Hammerheads — Fairfax Virginia Union 4–0; NCFC Youth 3–1.
What's at stake
| Fairfax Virginia Union | NCFC Youth | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 4th |
| Games left | 17 | 14 |
| Chance of top 4 | 8% | 29% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 6.4 | 5.2 |
How the results connect
4 chains
2 favour Fairfax Virginia Union, 2 favour NCFC Youth; average margin +0.5 goals toward Fairfax Virginia Union.
- -1Fairfax Virginia Union lost to NCFC Youth 1–2
- -1Fairfax Virginia Union lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–1 → NCFC Youth NC Courage drew with NCFC Youth 1–1
- +2Fairfax Virginia Union beat Wilmington Hammerheads 4–0 → Wilmington Hammerheads lost to NCFC Youth 1–3
- +2Fairfax Virginia Union lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–1 → NCFC Youth NC Courage beat Beach FC 7–2 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth 1–3
Full picture: Fairfax Virginia Union · NCFC Youth · Mid-Atlantic GU13 standings