Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 10:00 AM
COSC 3–3 Folsom Lake Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 20% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 29% home, 20% draw, 51% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | COSC | Folsom Lake Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-2 | 5-1-0 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 2.67 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | W D W W W |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at Marin FC | 5–0 vs El Camino FC Salinas |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs Placer United | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.95 | +1.73 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.39 | -0.33 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 3–3 (home for COSC)
What's at stake
| COSC | Folsom Lake Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 2nd |
| Games left | 9 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 74% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 19% |
| Average finish | 4.0 | 2.1 |
How the results connect
19 chains
7 favour COSC, 9 favour Folsom Lake Surf, 3 even; average margin -0.7 goals toward COSC.
- 0COSC drew with Folsom Lake Surf 3–3
- 0COSC beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy beat Napa United 2–0 → Napa United lost to Folsom Lake Surf 0–3
- 0COSC beat Marin FC 5–0 → Marin FC lost to Los Gatos United Soccer Club 0–4 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club lost to Folsom Lake Surf 2–3
- +1COSC beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy beat Los Gatos United Soccer Club 1–0 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club lost to Folsom Lake Surf 2–3
- -1COSC beat Marin FC 5–0 → Marin FC lost to El Camino FC Salinas 2–3 → El Camino FC Salinas lost to Folsom Lake Surf 0–5
- -1COSC beat MVLA 4–1 → MVLA beat El Camino FC Salinas 1–0 → El Camino FC Salinas lost to Folsom Lake Surf 0–5
Full picture: COSC · Folsom Lake Surf · Northern Cal BU16 standings