Result · Sunday, Aug 30, 11:00 AM
Mustang Soccer 1–0 Folsom Lake Surf
Provident Field @ MSC · Lower ↗ · 94506
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 58% chance. Pre-match odds were 58% home, 20% draw, 22% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer | Folsom Lake Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 12th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-2 | 2-0-4 |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W W L | W L L L L |
| Biggest win | 3–1 vs San Francisco Elite Academy | 4–1 vs Napa United |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Davis Legacy | 0–4 at COSC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.38 | -0.25 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.04 | +0.26 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 1–0 (home for Mustang Soccer)
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer | Folsom Lake Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 12th |
| Games left | 9 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 59% | 2% |
| Chance of 1st | 4% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.4 | 10.9 |
How the results connect
19 chains
12 favour Mustang Soccer, 7 favour Folsom Lake Surf; average margin +1.4 goals toward Mustang Soccer.
- +1Mustang Soccer beat Folsom Lake Surf 1–0
- +1Mustang Soccer beat Association FC B12/13 2–1 → Association FC B12/13 lost to Los Gatos United Soccer Club 0–1 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club beat Folsom Lake Surf 1–0
- -1Mustang Soccer lost to Davis Legacy 1–2 → Davis Legacy lost to Los Gatos United Soccer Club 2–3 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club beat Folsom Lake Surf 1–0
- +1Mustang Soccer lost to Davis Legacy 1–2 → Davis Legacy lost to El Camino FC Salinas 0–1 → El Camino FC Salinas beat Folsom Lake Surf 3–0
- -1Mustang Soccer beat Marin FC 3–2 → Marin FC beat Santa Clara Sporting 2–1 → Santa Clara Sporting lost to Folsom Lake Surf 2–5
- -2Mustang Soccer beat San Francisco Elite Academy 3–1 → San Francisco Elite Academy lost to Napa United 0–1 → Napa United lost to Folsom Lake Surf 1–4
Full picture: Mustang Soccer · Folsom Lake Surf · Northern Cal BU14 standings