PSA Monmouth

ECNL Boys · North Atlantic BU17 · 12 teams · Princeton SA (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 hours ago.

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9th

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

31% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.7

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Dec 20, 03:30 PM

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PSA Monmouth
9th · 0.00 PPG

Maryland United FC
3rd · 0.00 PPG

Indian Creek, Field 1 ↗ far trip

35% 18% 47%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so far	PSA Monmouth	Maryland United FC
Position	9th	3rd
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
Maryland United FC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 03:30 PM at Indian Creek.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Potomac Soccer Association sit 8th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above Potomac Soccer Association on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Maryland United FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PSA Monmouth – Maryland United FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Dec 14 – Sun Dec 20); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	2nd▲ up 7	4th▲ up 5	4th▲ up 5
Win 3.00 PPG	1st▲ up 8	1st▲ up 8	3rd▲ up 6
Draw 1.00 PPG	2nd▲ up 7	4th▲ up 5	4th▲ up 5
Loss 0.00 PPG	12th▼ down 3	12th▼ down 3	12th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

7% finish 1st

31% top 4

69% below the top 4

6.7 average finish

1st 7%
2nd 8%
3rd 8%
4th 9%
5th 9%
6th 9%
7th 9%
8th 9%
9th 8%
10th 8%
11th 9%
12th 9%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Baltimore Celtic	0.00 (+0.00)	3rd (1.42)	Already ahead
2	Delaware FC	0.00 (+0.00)	10th (1.39)	Already ahead
3	Maryland United FC	0.00 (+0.00)	1st (1.42)	Already ahead
4	Match Fit Surf	0.00 (+0.00)	4th (1.42)	Already ahead
5	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy	0.00 (+0.00)	2nd (1.42)	Already ahead
6	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals	0.00 (+0.00)	11th (1.39)	Already ahead
7	Pipeline SC	0.00 (+0.00)	5th (1.42)	Already ahead
8	Potomac Soccer Association	0.00 (+0.00)	7th (1.39)	Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 9th hardest of 12

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Dec 20 03:30 PM	Maryland United FC 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away far trip Indian Creek	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sat Feb 27 TBD	Pipeline SC 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sat Mar 6 03:30 PM	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home The Ranney School · turf?	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.35	Swing game
Sat Mar 13 12:00 PM	SJEBFC 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away far trip Tuckahoe Farm	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.33	Upside
Sat Mar 20 TBD	World Class FC 12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.31	Upside
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Baltimore Celtic 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.35	Swing game
Sun Apr 18 TBD	Potomac Soccer Association 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.39	Swing game
Sat Apr 24 TBD	STA 11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.37	Upside
Sat May 1 TBD	Delaware FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.39	Swing game
Sat May 8 TBD	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sun May 16 TBD	Match Fit Surf 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.39	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Baltimore Celtic

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 19 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Feb 13 vs Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Feb 27 at Match Fit Surf See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Match Fit Surf (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Maryland United FC (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Pipeline SC (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	SJEBFC (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	PSA Monmouth (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	World Class FC (12th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	STA (11th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Delaware FC (2nd)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Delaware FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs STA · Sat Mar 6 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Mar 13 at Match Fit Surf See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	STA (11th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Match Fit Surf (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Maryland United FC (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Pipeline SC (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	PSA Monmouth (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	Baltimore Celtic (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 22	vs	World Class FC (12th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 23	at	SJEBFC (10th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Maryland United FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Dec 20 vs PSA Monmouth · Sat Mar 6 at Baltimore Celtic · Sat Mar 13 at STA See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	PSA Monmouth (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Baltimore Celtic (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	STA (11th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Match Fit Surf (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Delaware FC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	World Class FC (12th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Pipeline SC (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	vs	SJEBFC (10th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Match Fit Surf

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Feb 20 vs World Class FC · Sat Feb 27 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sat Mar 6 at STA See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	World Class FC (12th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Baltimore Celtic (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	STA (11th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Delaware FC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Maryland United FC (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Pipeline SC (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	SJEBFC (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	vs	PSA Monmouth (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 22	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Penn Fusion Soccer Academy

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 19 at Baltimore Celtic · Sat Feb 27 at STA · Sat Mar 6 vs Delaware FC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Baltimore Celtic (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	STA (11th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Delaware FC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	SJEBFC (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	World Class FC (12th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Maryland United FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Pipeline SC (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	PSA Monmouth (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Match Fit Surf (4th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at World Class FC · Sat Feb 13 at Baltimore Celtic · Sat Mar 6 at PSA Monmouth See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	World Class FC (12th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Baltimore Celtic (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	PSA Monmouth (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	SJEBFC (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	STA (11th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Delaware FC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Maryland United FC (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	Match Fit Surf (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Pipeline SC (7th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pipeline SC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs SJEBFC · Sat Feb 27 vs PSA Monmouth · Sat Mar 6 vs Potomac Soccer Association See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	SJEBFC (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	PSA Monmouth (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Baltimore Celtic (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	STA (11th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Delaware FC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Match Fit Surf (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Maryland United FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	World Class FC (12th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (6th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Potomac Soccer Association

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 6 at Pipeline SC · Sat Mar 13 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Apr 10 vs Match Fit Surf See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Pipeline SC (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Match Fit Surf (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	World Class FC (12th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	PSA Monmouth (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Baltimore Celtic (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	STA (11th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	Maryland United FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Delaware FC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 22	vs	SJEBFC (10th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PSA Monmouth

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Dec 20 at Maryland United FC · Sat Feb 27 at Pipeline SC · Sat Mar 6 vs Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Dec 20	at	Maryland United FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Pipeline SC (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	SJEBFC (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	World Class FC (12th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Baltimore Celtic (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	STA (11th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Delaware FC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	at	Match Fit Surf (4th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SJEBFC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Pipeline SC · Sat Mar 6 at World Class FC · Sun Mar 7 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Pipeline SC (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	World Class FC (12th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	PSA Monmouth (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Baltimore Celtic (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	STA (11th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Match Fit Surf (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Maryland United FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 22	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Delaware FC (2nd)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

STA

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Delaware FC · Sat Feb 27 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Mar 6 vs Match Fit Surf See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Delaware FC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Match Fit Surf (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Maryland United FC (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Pipeline SC (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	SJEBFC (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	PSA Monmouth (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	Baltimore Celtic (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	World Class FC (12th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

World Class FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Feb 20 at Match Fit Surf · Sat Mar 6 vs SJEBFC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Match Fit Surf (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	SJEBFC (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	PSA Monmouth (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Maryland United FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Baltimore Celtic (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	Pipeline SC (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	STA (11th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 22	at	Delaware FC (2nd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.