SUSA FC
ECNL Boys · New England BU16 · 6 teams · SUSA FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Dec 12, TBD
Venue TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | SUSA FC | East Meadow Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
East Meadow Soccer Club average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Oakwood Soccer Club sit 5th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Oakwood Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the East Meadow Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SUSA FC – East Meadow Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Dec 7 – Sun Dec 13); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 4 | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 5 | 1st▲ up 5 | 5th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 4 | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 17%
- 2nd 16%
- 3rd 16%
- 4th 17%
- 5th 18%
- 6th 16%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Connecticut | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.46) | Already ahead |
| 2 | East Coast Surf SC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.45) | Already ahead |
| 3 | East Meadow Soccer Club | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.45) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Manhattan SC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.45) | Already ahead |
| 5 | Oakwood Soccer Club | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.43) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 6th hardest of 6
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Dec 12 TBD |
East Meadow Soccer Club 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 01:00 PM |
Oakwood Soccer Club 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Oakwood Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
Oakwood Soccer Club 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
AC Connecticut 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 07:30 PM |
East Meadow Soccer Club 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
SUSA FC ACADEMY |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
FC Stars |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.48 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Scorpions SC |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Manhattan SC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
East Coast Surf SC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.48 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
AC Connecticut 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Manhattan SC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
East Coast Surf SC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.45 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Connecticut | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Oakwood Soccer Club · Sun Dec 13 vs East Meadow Soccer Club · Sun Dec 20 vs Manhattan SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | East Coast Surf SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Manhattan SC · Sun Dec 13 vs SUSA FC ACADEMY · Sun Dec 20 at Oakwood Soccer Club See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | East Meadow Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at SUSA FC · Sun Dec 13 at AC Connecticut · Sun Dec 20 vs SUSA FC ACADEMY See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Manhattan SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at East Coast Surf SC · Sun Dec 13 vs Select · Sun Dec 20 at AC Connecticut See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Oakwood Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at AC Connecticut · Sun Dec 13 vs SUSA FC · Sun Dec 20 vs East Coast Surf SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SUSA FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs East Meadow Soccer Club · Sun Dec 13 at Oakwood Soccer Club · Sat Mar 6 vs Oakwood Soccer Club See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.