Connecticut FC United
ECNL Boys · New England BU16 · 6 teams · Connecticut FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Dec 12, 09:45 AM
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)
| Season so far | Connecticut FC United | FC Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
FC Stars average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:45 AM at MYSA Progin Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:45 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Stars game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Connecticut FC United – FC Stars) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Dec 7 – Sun Dec 13); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 3rd▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 5 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 6th▼ down 5 | 6th▼ down 5 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
6th▼ down 5 | 6th▼ down 5 | 6th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 17%
- 2nd 17%
- 3rd 17%
- 4th 16%
- 5th 17%
- 6th 17%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 1st hardest of 6
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Dec 12 09:45 AM |
FC Stars 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away MYSA Progin Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 10:45 AM |
Scorpions SC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Taunton Forekicks |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 19 10:30 AM |
FSA FC 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away FSA-Farmington Sports Arena |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
SUSA FC ACADEMY 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.33 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Select 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
SUSA FC |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
East Meadow Soccer Club |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
FSA FC 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.45 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
FC Stars 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Scorpions SC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.48 | Swing game |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
SUSA FC ACADEMY 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
Select 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.44 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut FC United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at FC Stars · Sun Dec 13 at Scorpions SC · Sat Dec 19 at FSA FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Connecticut FC United · Sun Dec 13 vs FSA FC · Sat Dec 19 at Scorpions SC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FSA FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Scorpions SC · Sun Dec 13 at FC Stars · Sat Dec 19 vs Connecticut FC United See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Scorpions SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs FSA FC · Sun Dec 13 vs Connecticut FC United · Sat Dec 19 vs FC Stars See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Select | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs SUSA FC ACADEMY · Sat Dec 19 vs SUSA FC · Sat Mar 6 at SUSA FC ACADEMY See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SUSA FC ACADEMY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Select · Sat Mar 6 vs Select · Sat Mar 13 vs FC Stars See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.