Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 11:00 AM
CCV STARS 1–1 La Roca FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 22% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 48% home, 22% draw, 30% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | CCV STARS | La Roca FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-3-1 | 1-4-0 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Goals for / game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D D L D | D D W D D |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Arizona Arsenal | 4–3 vs Arizona Arsenal |
| Worst loss | 2–3 at Avalanche | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.30 | +0.11 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.09 | -0.08 |
Already met this season: Sep 26 2–2 (away for CCV STARS); Oct 3 1–1 (home for CCV STARS)
Common opponents: Arizona Arsenal — CCV STARS 3–2, 3–0; La Roca FC 4–3, 0–0. Avalanche — CCV STARS 2–3, 0–0; La Roca FC 2–2.
What's at stake
| CCV STARS | La Roca FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 3rd |
| Games left | 6 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 93% | 82% |
| Chance of 1st | 20% | 13% |
| Average finish | 2.6 | 3.2 |
How the results connect
20 chains
7 favour CCV STARS, 5 favour La Roca FC, 8 even; average margin +0.3 goals toward CCV STARS.
- 0CCV STARS drew with La Roca FC 1–1
- 0CCV STARS drew with La Roca FC 2–2
- 0CCV STARS drew with Avalanche 0–0 → Avalanche drew with La Roca FC 2–2
- 0CCV STARS beat Arizona Arsenal 3–2 → Arizona Arsenal lost to La Roca FC 3–4
- -1CCV STARS lost to Avalanche 2–3 → Avalanche drew with La Roca FC 2–2
- +1CCV STARS beat Arizona Arsenal 3–2 → Arizona Arsenal drew with La Roca FC 0–0
Full picture: CCV STARS · La Roca FC · Mountain BU16 standings