Eclipse Select Soccer Club
ECNL Boys · Midwest BU14 · 8 teams · Eclipse Select Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:00 PM
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 2.0 for, 1.0 against · 2.03 expected points)
| Season so far | Eclipse Select Soccer Club | MN Thunder Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 2-1-1 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 1.75 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W W W | L W W D |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at Indiana Elite FC | 2–0 vs Indiana Elite FC |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Rockford Raptors FC | 1–2 at Chicago Inter |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.98 | +0.07 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.29 | -1.00 |
Common opponents: Chicago Inter — we 3–1; they 2–2, 1–2. Indiana Elite FC — we 4–0; they 2–0, 2–1.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Rockford Raptors FC.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 61% / draw 21% / loss 18%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the MN Thunder Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eclipse Select Soccer Club – MN Thunder Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.63 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 2.63 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.38 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.25 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 49%
- 2nd 39%
- 3rd 9%
- 4th 2%
- 5th 1%
- 6th <1%
- 7th
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
24 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Eclipse Select Soccer Club to MN Thunder Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.02 · 6th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 04:00 PM |
MN Thunder Academy 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2 |
Home Lewis University |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
1–0 | 2.03 | 2.50 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 11:30 AM |
St Croix 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +10 |
Home Lewis University |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–1 | 1.39 | 2.38 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Rockford Raptors FC 3rd · 4-1-2 · GD +7 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–1 | 1.81 | 2.32 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Chicago Inter 5th · 3-3-2 · GD +1 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–1 | 1.78 | 2.27 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Indiana Elite FC 8th · 0-0-8 · GD -26 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
3–0 | 2.76 | 2.31 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
MN Thunder Academy 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
1–0 | 2.03 | 2.29 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
St Croix 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +10 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–1 | 1.39 | 2.23 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
St Croix 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +10 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–1 | 1.15 | 2.16 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 09:45 AM |
MN Thunder Academy 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Winter Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
1–1 | 1.80 | 2.13 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Indiana Elite FC 8th · 0-0-8 · GD -26 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
4–0 | 2.86 | 2.18 | Bank it |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Chicago Inter 5th · 3-3-2 · GD +1 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–1 | 2.04 | 2.17 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Chicago Magic Soccer Club 6th · 2-2-2 · GD +1 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
1–1 | 1.72 | 2.15 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
FC Wisconsin 7th · 1-0-5 · GD -6 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
2–1 | 2.22 | 2.15 | Swing game |
| Sat May 22 12:00 PM |
Rockford Raptors FC 3rd · 4-1-2 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.54 | 2.12 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 18 | 2.57 | WWWWL | -0.29 | +0.02 | 99% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs MN Thunder Academy · Sun Oct 25 vs St Croix · Sun Mar 14 vs Rockford Raptors FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | St Croix | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 10 | 2.50 | WWDW | -1.00 | +0.09 | 99% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Rockford Raptors FC · Sun Oct 25 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sat Nov 14 vs FC Wisconsin See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Rockford Raptors FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 13 | 1.86 | WWDLW | -0.22 | +0.07 | 84% | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs St Croix · Sun Oct 25 vs MN Thunder Academy · Sun Mar 14 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | MN Thunder Academy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 7 | 1.75 | DWWL | -1.00 | +0.28 | 23% | 5.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Rockford Raptors FC · Sat Nov 14 vs Chicago Magic Soccer Club See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Chicago Inter | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 12 | 1.50 | LDWDW | +0.40 | -0.25 | 61% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Indiana Elite FC · Sat Feb 20 at MN Thunder Academy · Sat Feb 20 at St Croix See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Chicago Magic Soccer Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 | LDWDW | +0.16 | -0.04 | 34% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Wisconsin · Sat Nov 14 at MN Thunder Academy · Sun Nov 15 at St Croix See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC Wisconsin | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLWL | +0.15 | +0.10 | 1% | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Chicago Magic Soccer Club · Sat Nov 14 at St Croix · Sun Nov 15 at MN Thunder Academy See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Indiana Elite FC | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 32 | -26 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.40 | +0.31 | 0% | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Chicago Inter · Sun Feb 21 at MN Thunder Academy · Sun Feb 21 at St Croix See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.69 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.