Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
Wilmington Hammerheads 1–2 Fairfax Virginia Union
NCINO Sports Park · Field 8 ↗ · 28401
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 30% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 50% home, 21% draw, 30% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Wilmington Hammerheads | Fairfax Virginia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-1 | 4-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W | W W W L L |
| Biggest win | 6–2 vs Arlington Soccer Association | 3–1 at NCFC Youth |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Fairfax Virginia Union | 0–3 vs Arlington Soccer Association |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.60 | +0.20 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.13 | +0.09 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 1–2 (home for Wilmington Hammerheads)
Common opponents: Arlington Soccer Association — Wilmington Hammerheads 6–2; Fairfax Virginia Union 0–3.
What's at stake
| Wilmington Hammerheads | Fairfax Virginia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 2nd |
| Games left | 16 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 65% | 54% |
| Chance of 1st | 20% | 10% |
| Average finish | 3.8 | 4.5 |
How the results connect
6 chains
4 favour Wilmington Hammerheads, 1 favour Fairfax Virginia Union, 1 even; average margin +3.2 goals toward Wilmington Hammerheads.
- -1Wilmington Hammerheads lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 1–2
- +7Wilmington Hammerheads beat Arlington Soccer Association 6–2 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–0
- 0Wilmington Hammerheads beat Arlington Soccer Association 6–2 → Arlington Soccer Association lost to Beach FC 0–3 → Beach FC lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 1–2
- +3Wilmington Hammerheads beat Arlington Soccer Association 6–2 → Arlington Soccer Association beat NCFC Youth 3–2 → NCFC Youth lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 1–3
- +5Wilmington Hammerheads beat Arlington Soccer Association 6–2 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Skyline Elite 2–0 → Skyline Elite lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 1–2
- +5Wilmington Hammerheads beat Arlington Soccer Association 6–2 → Arlington Soccer Association drew with Richmond United 1–1 → Richmond United beat Fairfax Virginia Union 1–0
Full picture: Wilmington Hammerheads · Fairfax Virginia Union · Mid-Atlantic BU17 standings