Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 01:00 PM
Beach FC 1–2 Fairfax Virginia Union
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 23% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 51% home, 26% draw, 23% away, most likely 1–0.
| Season so far | Beach FC | Fairfax Virginia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-3-1 | 4-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.71 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | D W L W D | W W W L L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Skyline Elite | 3–1 at NCFC Youth |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Fairfax Virginia Union | 0–3 vs Arlington Soccer Association |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.66 | +0.20 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.12 | +0.09 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 1–2 (home for Beach FC)
Common opponents: Skyline Elite — Beach FC 3–0; Fairfax Virginia Union 2–1. Richmond United — Beach FC 1–1; Fairfax Virginia Union 0–1. Arlington Soccer Association — Beach FC 3–0; Fairfax Virginia Union 0–3.
What's at stake
| Beach FC | Fairfax Virginia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 2nd |
| Games left | 10 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 66% | 56% |
| Chance of 1st | 15% | 11% |
| Average finish | 3.8 | 4.4 |
How the results connect
15 chains
10 favour Beach FC, 3 favour Fairfax Virginia Union, 2 even; average margin +1.8 goals toward Beach FC.
- -1Beach FC lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 1–2
- +1Beach FC drew with Richmond United 1–1 → Richmond United beat Fairfax Virginia Union 1–0
- +2Beach FC beat Skyline Elite 3–0 → Skyline Elite lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 1–2
- +6Beach FC beat Arlington Soccer Association 3–0 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–0
- 0Beach FC drew with NC Fusion 1–1 → NC Fusion lost to Richmond United 1–2 → Richmond United beat Fairfax Virginia Union 1–0
- 0Beach FC drew with VDA 1–1 → VDA beat Skyline Elite 1–0 → Skyline Elite lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 1–2
Full picture: Beach FC · Fairfax Virginia Union · Mid-Atlantic BU17 standings