TableChase Clubs

Fort Lauderdale United FC

ECNL Boys · Florida BU13 · 11 teams · Fort Lauderdale United FC (all teams)

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8th
2-0-3 record · 5 played
1.20 points per game
+6 goal diff · 19–13
LWLLWlast 5
8% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.7
-0.77 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

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Fort Lauderdale United FC
8th · 1.20 PPG
vs
Palm Beach United
7th · 1.50 PPG

Beyond Bancard Stadium, Field 1 ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.6 for, 2.3 against · 2.01 expected points)

Season so farFort Lauderdale United FCPalm Beach United
Position8th7th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-33-0-3
Points per game1.201.50
Goals for / game3.82.2
Goals against / game2.62.3
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W L L W LL L W W L
Biggest win10–2 at Space Coast United5–1 at Space Coast United
Worst loss1–4 at Sporting SA JAX1–7 at Sporting SA JAX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.53-0.26
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.77-0.52

Common opponents: Sporting SA JAX — we 1–4; they 1–7. Space Coast United — we 10–2; they 5–1, 4–0. Doral Soccer Club — we 1–3; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 62% / draw 15% / loss 23%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Palm Beach United sit 7th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.20.

    A win moves us above Palm Beach United on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Palm Beach United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fort Lauderdale United FC – Palm Beach United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.50 PPG
7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1
Win
1.50 PPG
7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1
Draw
1.17 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Loss
1.00 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
8% top 4
92% below the top 4
6.7 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th 6%
  5. 5th 9%
  6. 6th 18%
  7. 7th 40%
  8. 8th 22%
  9. 9th 4%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.55 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Florida Premier FC 2.57 (+1.37) 1st (2.44) 46 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
2 Florida Kraze Krush 2.40 (+1.20) 2nd (2.05) 42 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
3 Sporting SA JAX 2.17 (+0.97) 3rd (2.03) 38 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
4 Florida Premier FC South 2.17 (+0.97) 5th (1.72) 38 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
5 Parkland Soccer Club 1.88 (+0.68) 4th (1.80) 32 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
6 Doral Soccer Club 1.63 (+0.43) 6th (1.69) 27 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
7 Palm Beach United 1.50 (+0.30) 8th (1.24) Win next game

How the results connect

17 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Fort Lauderdale United FC to Palm Beach United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
3 even
5 favour them
+1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 2–1 1–4 7–1 10–2 1–5 0–4 2–4 6–0 2–1 5–0 0–7 3–0 1–2 0–0 1–2 1–0 0–0 Fort Lauderdale Uni… 8th Doral Soccer Club 6th Sporting SA JAX 3rd Space Coast United 11th Florida Kraze Krush 2nd AC Florida West 10th Parkland Soccer Club 5th Athletic Club Flori… 9th Palm Beach United 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.18 · 4th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM
Palm Beach United
7th · 3-0-3 · GD -1
Home
Beyond Bancard Stadium · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
3–2 2.01 1.33 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
9th · 1-2-4 · GD -4
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
1–0 1.99 1.43 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
03:00 PM
Florida Premier FC
1st · 6-0-1 · GD +27
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●●●● Very tough
15%
2–4 0.58 1.32 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
Florida Premier FC South
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +4
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.56 1.35 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
12:00 PM
Sporting SA JAX
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +11
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–3 1.09 1.32 Upside
Sat Feb 27
03:00 PM
Space Coast United
11th · 0-0-8 · GD -33
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
5–0 2.88 1.47 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
03:00 PM
Parkland Soccer Club
5th · 5-0-3 · GD +9
Away far trip
Terramar Park
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–3 1.00 1.43 Upside
Sun Mar 14
01:00 PM
AC Florida West
10th · 0-1-5 · GD -35
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
6–1 2.94 1.54 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
02:00 PM
Florida Premier FC
1st · 6-0-1 · GD +27
Away far trip
Starkey Ranch District Park
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–4 0.36 1.46 Upside
Sun Mar 21
11:00 AM
Florida Premier FC South
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +4
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.23 1.44 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Palm Beach United
7th · 3-0-3 · GD -1
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
3–2 1.66 1.46 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
10:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
9th · 1-2-4 · GD -4
Away
Nob Hill Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
1–1 1.76 1.48 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
11:00 AM
Doral Soccer Club
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +5
Away far trip
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.14 1.46 Upside
Sun Apr 18
11:00 AM
Parkland Soccer Club
5th · 5-0-3 · GD +9
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●●●○ Tough
39%
2–2 1.34 1.45 Upside
Sun Apr 25
11:00 AM
Florida Kraze Krush
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +11
Away far trip
Central Winds
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.80 1.42 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Florida Premier FC 7601 347+27 182.57 LWWWW -0.47 -0.05 100% 1.2
2 Florida Kraze Krush 5401 198+11 122.40 WWLWW -0.17 -0.12 89% 2.8
3 Sporting SA JAX 6411 198+11 132.17 WWDWL +0.61 -0.40 87% 3.0
4 Florida Premier FC South 6411 139+4 132.17 LWDWW -0.16 +0.07 33% 5.1
5 Parkland Soccer Club 8503 2213+9 151.88 WWWLL -0.17 +0.03 53% 4.4
6 Doral Soccer Club 8413 1510+5 131.63 LLWWL +0.18 -0.19 29% 5.2
7 Palm Beach United 6303 1314-1 91.50 LWWLL -0.52 +0.31 1% 7.7
8 Fort Lauderdale United FC 5203 1913+6 61.20 LWLLW -0.77 +0.18 8% 6.7
9 Athletic Club Florida 7124 26-4 50.71 DLWLL -0.16 +0.21 0% 8.8
10 AC Florida West 6015 136-35 10.17 LDLLL +0.68 +0.23 0% 10.5
11 Space Coast United 8008 336-33 00.00 LLLLL +0.60 +0.11 0% 10.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.