Forward Madison
Elite Academy League National · Mid-America U16 · 6 teams · Forward Madison (all teams)
Next game — Sat Apr 10, 12:00 AM
TBD, TBD ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)
| Season so far | Forward Madison | North Shore United Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
North Shore United Soccer Club average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 12:00 AM at TBD.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Croatian Eagles SC sit 1st on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Croatian Eagles SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the North Shore United Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Forward Madison – North Shore United Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Apr 5 – Sun Apr 11); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
6th▼ down 4 | 6th▼ down 4 | 6th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 12%
- 2nd 14%
- 3rd 18%
- 4th 16%
- 5th 19%
- 6th 21%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatian Eagles SC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 2nd hardest of 6
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
North Shore United Soccer Club 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Croatian Eagles SC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatian Eagles SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Apr 25 vs Forward Madison · Sat May 15 at North Shore United Soccer Club See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Forward Madison | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Apr 10 at North Shore United Soccer Club · Sun Apr 25 at Croatian Eagles SC See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Hoosier FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 6 vs Indy Premier SC · Sun Apr 25 at USA of Indiana See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Indy Premier SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 6 at Hoosier FC · Sun Apr 11 vs USA of Indiana See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | North Shore United Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Apr 10 vs Forward Madison · Sat May 15 vs Croatian Eagles SC See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | USA of Indiana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Apr 11 at Indy Premier SC · Sun Apr 25 vs Hoosier FC See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.