TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC Dallas (2)

Elite Academy League · Texas U15 · 9 teams · ALBION SC Dallas (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 4 hours ago.
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4th
4-1-1 record · 6 played
2.17 points per game
+3 goal diff · 13–10
WDWLWlast 5
23% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.5
-0.47 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Mon Oct 26, 12:00 AM

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ALBION SC Dallas (2)
4th · 2.17 PPG
at
CF10 Houston FC
3rd · 2.25 PPG

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.4 for, 2.6 against · 0.74 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Dallas (2)CF10 Houston FC
Position4th3rd
Record (W-D-L)4-1-13-0-1
Points per game2.172.25
Goals for / game2.23.8
Goals against / game1.71.0
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W L W D WW W W L
Biggest win5–2 vs BVBIA DFW10–0 at BVBIA DFW
Worst loss1–4 vs PSG Academy DFW0–2 at ALBION SC Dallas
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.17+1.33
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.47-1.41

Common opponents: ALBION SC Dallas — we 2–1, 2–1; they 0–2. ALBION SC Dallas (1) — we 2–1; they 2–1. BVBIA DFW — we 5–2; they 10–0. PSG Academy DFW — we 1–4; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    CF10 Houston FC score 3.8/game — well above the league's 2.5.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    CF10 Houston FC concede only 1.0/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 19%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    CF10 Houston FC have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 AM at .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    CF10 Houston FC sit 3rd on 2.25 PPG; we are on 2.17.

    A point moves us above CF10 Houston FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Monday goes…

Where we'd sit after the CF10 Houston FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Dallas (2) – CF10 Houston FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.86 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1
Win
2.29 PPG
2nd▲ up 2 2nd▲ up 2 2nd▲ up 2
Draw
2.00 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1
Loss
1.86 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
23% top 4
77% below the top 4
5.5 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 3%
  3. 3rd 6%
  4. 4th 13%
  5. 5th 21%
  6. 6th 28%
  7. 7th 28%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.69 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas 2.33 (+0.16) 1st (2.19) 25 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
2 ALBION SC Dallas 2.25 (+0.08) 2nd (1.97) A point next game
3 CF10 Houston FC 2.25 (+0.08) 3rd (1.88) A point next game

How the results connect

24 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC Dallas (2) to CF10 Houston FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
3 even
12 favour them
-0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 1–2 2–1 2–0 2–1 1–4 1–3 5–2 0–10 1–1 3–1 2–5 0–6 3–1 0–3 3–0 2–0 ALBION SC Dallas (2) 4th ALBION SC Dallas (1) 8th ALBION SC Dallas 2nd PSG Academy DFW 6th BVBIA DFW 9th Steel United TX 5th CF10 Houston FC 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 5th 9th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.51 · 4th hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Mon Oct 26
12:00 AM
CF10 Houston FC
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +11
Away
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.74 1.96 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:30 PM
CF10 Houston FC
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +11
Away
San Antonio Sporti
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.74 1.81 Upside
Sun Nov 1
12:00 PM
CF10 Houston FC
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +11
Home
Sporti in San Antonio
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 0.99 1.72 Upside
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Dallas (1)
8th · 0-0-9 · GD -26
Home
Beacon Park
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.43 1.79 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM
Steel United TX
5th · 5-2-1 · GD +9
Home
Beacon Park
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.22 1.74 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
BTX SC
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +13
Away
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.66 1.65 Upside
Sun Apr 4
07:30 AM
Atletico Dallas
1st · 2-1-0 · GD +22
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.60 1.57 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
PSG Academy DFW
6th · 4-0-3 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 1.55 Upside
Sun Apr 25
09:00 AM
BVBIA DFW
9th · 0-0-7 · GD -55
Away
Beacon Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
5–1 2.86 1.63 Bank it
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Atletico Dallas
1st · 2-1-0 · GD +22
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–4 0.38 1.56 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas 3210 253+22 72.33 WWD -1.98 +0.25 96% 1.8
2 ALBION SC Dallas 8602 299+20 182.25 WWWWL -0.68 +0.56 89% 2.8
3 CF10 Houston FC 4301 154+11 92.25 LWWW -1.41 +0.42 78% 3.3
4 ALBION SC Dallas (2) 6411 1310+3 132.17 WDWLW -0.47 +0.51 23% 5.5
5 Steel United TX 8521 178+9 172.13 DWWDW -0.51 +0.66 55% 4.2
6 PSG Academy DFW 7403 1512+3 121.71 WLWWL -0.21 +0.55 8% 6.2
7 BTX SC 4202 174+13 61.50 WLLW -1.42 +0.42 51% 4.3
8 ALBION SC Dallas (1) 9009 1036-26 00.00 LLLLL +1.20 -0.60 0% 8.0
9 BVBIA DFW 7007 358-55 00.00 LLLLL +1.22 +0.51 0% 9.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.54 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.