Colorado Rush - COS
Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U11 · 10 teams · Colorado Rush - COS (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 14, 11:00 AM
North - El Pomar Youth Sports Park, Olin Turf ↗ · turf
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.8 for, 3.8 against · 0.99 expected points)
| Season so far | Colorado Rush - COS | Skyline SA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-1 | 1-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 6.0 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L | W |
| Biggest win | — | 4–2 vs Colorado United |
| Worst loss | 2–6 at Colorado United | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.89 | +0.49 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.44 | +0.44 |
Common opponents: Colorado United — we 2–6; they 4–2.
Game plan
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 28%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
Colorado Elevation FC sit 9th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Colorado Elevation FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Skyline SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Rush - COS – Skyline SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 10th— holds |
| Win 1.50 PPG |
3rd▲ up 7 | 2nd▲ up 8 | 4th▲ up 6 |
| Draw 0.50 PPG |
3rd▲ up 7 | 4th▲ up 6 | 4th▲ up 6 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 10th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 1%
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 2%
- 4th 4%
- 5th 6%
- 6th 6%
- 7th 9%
- 8th 13%
- 9th 21%
- 10th 37%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skyline SA | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (1.85) | 27 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection |
| 2 | Colorado United | 2.00 (+2.00) | 2nd (1.71) | 18 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection |
| 3 | ALBION SC Boulder County | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.44) | Already ahead |
| 4 | ALBION SC Boulder County (1) | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.40) | Already ahead |
| 5 | ALBION SC Denver | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.44) | Already ahead |
| 6 | ALBION SC Denver (1) | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.40) | Already ahead |
| 7 | City SC NOCO | 0.00 (+0.00) | 8th (1.40) | Already ahead |
| 8 | Colorado Storm | 0.00 (+0.00) | 7th (1.40) | Already ahead |
| 9 | Colorado Elevation FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 9th (1.25) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
1 chain · 3 teams
Paths of results that link Colorado Rush - COS to Skyline SA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
3 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.04 · 1st hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 14 11:00 AM |
Skyline SA 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +2 |
Home North - El Pomar Youth Sports Park · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
2–3 | 0.99 | 0.49 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 12 12:00 PM |
Colorado Storm 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home North - El Pomar Youth Sports Park · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
3–3 | 1.21 | 0.73 | Upside |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
Colorado Elevation FC 9th · 0-0-1 · GD -1 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
2–3 | 0.93 | 0.78 | Upside |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Boulder County (1) 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
3–3 | 1.21 | 0.87 | Upside |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Denver (1) 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
3–3 | 1.21 | 0.93 | Upside |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
City SC NOCO 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
3–3 | 1.21 | 0.97 | Upside |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Boulder County 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
2–4 | 0.86 | 0.95 | Upside |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Denver 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
2–4 | 0.86 | 0.94 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Skyline SA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | W | +0.44 | -0.13 | 75% | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs City SC NOCO · Thu Nov 12 at ALBION SC Denver · Sat Nov 14 at Colorado Rush - COS See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Colorado United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | -0.20 | +0.00 | 65% | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at City SC NOCO · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Boulder County (1) See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC Boulder County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado United · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Denver (1) · Sat Nov 7 vs Colorado Elevation FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ALBION SC Boulder County (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 vs ALBION SC Denver (1) · Fri Dec 25 vs City SC NOCO See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | ALBION SC Denver | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Thu Nov 12 vs Skyline SA · Fri Dec 25 vs ALBION SC Denver (1) · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Boulder County See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | ALBION SC Denver (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Elevation FC · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Rush - COS See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | City SC NOCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Colorado United · Sun Nov 1 at Skyline SA · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Elevation FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Colorado Storm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Elevation FC · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Denver (1) See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Colorado Elevation FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.44 | -0.05 | 26% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 vs ALBION SC Denver (1) See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Colorado Rush - COS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.44 | +0.04 | 8% | 8.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Skyline SA · Sat Dec 12 vs Colorado Storm · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Elevation FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.11 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.