City SC NOCO
Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U11 · 10 teams · City SC NOCO (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM
Loveland Sports Park, Field 1A ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 3–3 (expected goals 3.1 for, 3.2 against · 1.40 expected points)
| Season so far | City SC NOCO | Colorado United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 2-0-1 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 3.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | W L W |
| Biggest win | — | 6–2 vs Colorado Rush - COS |
| Worst loss | — | 2–4 at Skyline SA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.44 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | -0.20 |
Game plan
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 41%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
ALBION SC Denver (1) sit 6th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above ALBION SC Denver (1) on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Colorado United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (City SC NOCO – Colorado United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
3rd▲ up 4 | 3rd▲ up 4 | 3rd▲ up 4 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 5 | 2nd▲ up 5 | 2nd▲ up 5 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
3rd▲ up 4 | 3rd▲ up 4 | 3rd▲ up 4 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
9th▼ down 2 | 9th▼ down 2 | 9th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–3 draw we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 8%
- 2nd 9%
- 3rd 11%
- 4th 10%
- 5th 12%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 11%
- 8th 10%
- 9th 10%
- 10th 8%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skyline SA | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (1.85) | Win next game |
| 2 | Colorado United | 2.00 (+2.00) | 2nd (1.71) | A point next game |
| 3 | ALBION SC Boulder County | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.44) | Already ahead |
| 4 | ALBION SC Boulder County (1) | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.40) | Already ahead |
| 5 | ALBION SC Denver | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.44) | Already ahead |
| 6 | ALBION SC Denver (1) | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.40) | Already ahead |
Position over the season
3 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.01 · 7th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 12:00 PM |
Colorado United 2nd · 2-0-1 · GD +3 |
Home Loveland Sports Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
3–3 | 1.40 | 1.40 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
Skyline SA 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +2 |
Away Kennedy Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
2–3 | 1.01 | 1.21 | Upside |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
Colorado Elevation FC 9th · 0-0-1 · GD -1 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
3–2 | 1.67 | 1.36 | Swing game |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
Colorado Rush - COS 10th · 0-0-1 · GD -4 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
3–3 | 1.63 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Boulder County (1) 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–3 | 1.23 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Denver (1) 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–3 | 1.23 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Boulder County 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
3–2 | 1.61 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Denver 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
3–2 | 1.61 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 16 12:00 PM |
Colorado Storm 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Douglas County Fairgrounds |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–3 | 1.23 | 1.40 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Skyline SA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | W | +0.44 | -0.13 | 76% | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs City SC NOCO · Thu Nov 12 at ALBION SC Denver · Sat Nov 14 at Colorado Rush - COS See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Colorado United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | -0.20 | +0.00 | 65% | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at City SC NOCO · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 vs ALBION SC Denver See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC Boulder County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado United · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Denver (1) · Sat Nov 7 vs Colorado Elevation FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ALBION SC Boulder County (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Elevation FC · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 vs ALBION SC Denver (1) See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | ALBION SC Denver | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Thu Nov 12 vs Skyline SA · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado United · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Boulder County See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | ALBION SC Denver (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Elevation FC · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Rush - COS See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | City SC NOCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Colorado United · Sun Nov 1 at Skyline SA · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Elevation FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Colorado Storm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Elevation FC · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Denver (1) See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Colorado Elevation FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.44 | -0.05 | 24% | 6.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 vs ALBION SC Boulder County (1) See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Colorado Rush - COS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.44 | +0.04 | 7% | 8.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Skyline SA · Sat Dec 12 vs Colorado Storm · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Elevation FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.11 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.