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Sting Soccer Club - ID

Elite Academy League · PACNW U14 · 17 teams · Sting Soccer Club - ID (all teams)

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15th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.0
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, 09:00 AM

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Sting Soccer Club - ID
15th · 0.00 PPG
vs

HUB Sports Complex, HUB Field #2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.5 for, 3.0 against · 0.63 expected points)

Season so farSting Soccer Club - IDWestern WA Surf Academy White
Position15th4th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-04-1-0
Points per game0.002.60
Goals for / game0.03.4
Goals against / game0.00.4
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)—D W W W W
Biggest win—7–0 at ALBION SC Washington
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+1.82
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00-0.32

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Western WA Surf Academy White concede only 0.4/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 16%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC Washington sit 14th on 0.25 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above ALBION SC Washington on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Western WA Surf Academy White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Soccer Club - ID – Western WA Surf Academy White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
15th— holds 15th— holds 17th▼ down 2
Win
3.00 PPG
4th▲ up 11 2nd▲ up 13 4th▲ up 11
Draw
1.00 PPG
10th▲ up 5 10th▲ up 5 12th▲ up 3
Loss
0.00 PPG
15th— holds 15th— holds 17th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 15th even if every rival loses, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
10.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th 9%
  9. 9th 14%
  10. 10th 27%
  11. 11th 22%
  12. 12th 12%
  13. 13th 5%
  14. 14th 2%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Washington East Surf Columbia Basin 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.51) Win next game
2 Harbor SC 3.00 (+3.00) 5th (2.11) Win next game
3 Highline Premier FC 3.00 (+3.00) 4th (2.22) Win next game
4 Western WA Surf Academy White 2.60 (+2.60) 2nd (2.35) A point next game
5 Sparta Tacoma 2.40 (+2.40) 6th (2.01) A point next game
6 ALBION SC Hawaii 2.33 (+2.33) 3rd (2.27) A point next game
7 Emerald City FC 2.00 (+2.00) 7th (1.81) A point next game
8 Western WA Surf Academy Blue 1.67 (+1.67) 8th (1.76) A point next game
9 Seattle Celtic 1.20 (+1.20) 9th (1.61) A point next game
10 Everett FC 1.00 (+1.00) 12th (1.08) A point next game
11 Warriors Sports Academy 1.00 (+1.00) 14th (0.69) A point next game
12 BVBIA Washington 0.67 (+0.67) 13th (0.96) Already ahead
13 Valencia CF Academy - Seattle 0.60 (+0.60) 11th (1.31) Already ahead
14 ALBION SC Washington 0.25 (+0.25) 15th (0.56) Already ahead

Position over the season

14 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.09 · 11th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
Western WA Surf Academy White
4th · 4-1-0 · GD +15
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.63 0.63 Upside
Sat Nov 14
07:00 PM
BVBIA Washington
12th · 1-1-4 · GD -14
Away
Robinswood Sports Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–2 1.87 1.25 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
11:00 AM
Mt. Rainier
16th · 0-0-5 · GD -33
Home
Real Life Ministries
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
5–1 2.87 1.79 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
11:00 AM
Emerald City FC
7th · 4-0-2 · GD +14
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
26%
2–2 0.95 1.58 Upside
Sun Dec 13
01:00 PM
Valencia CF Academy - Seattle
13th · 1-0-4 · GD +0
Home
Real Life Ministries
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.49 1.56 Swing game
Sat Jan 9
04:00 PM
Atletico Rojo
17th · 0-0-7 · GD -37
Away
Sirius Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
4–1 2.55 1.72 Bank it
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM
Harbor SC
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +14
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
2–4 0.55 1.56 Upside
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
Western WA Surf Academy Blue
8th · 3-1-2 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.82 1.46 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Seattle Celtic
9th · 2-0-3 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
2–3 0.84 1.39 Upside
Sat Jan 30
11:00 AM
Sparta Tacoma
5th · 4-0-1 · GD +5
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.15 1.37 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 PM
Highline Premier FC
3rd · 4-0-0 · GD +14
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.82 1.32 Upside
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
Warriors Sports Academy
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
4–2 2.21 1.39 Swing game
Sat Feb 13
12:00 AM
Washington East Surf Columbia Basin
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +21
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.27 1.31 Upside
Sat Feb 20
12:00 PM
Everett FC
10th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Home
Real Life Ministries
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
3–2 1.75 1.34 Swing game
Sun Feb 21
11:00 AM
ALBION SC Washington
14th · 0-1-3 · GD -19
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
4–1 2.55 1.42 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Washington East Surf Columbia Basin 4400 232+21 123.00 WWWW -0.90 -0.07 94% 2.0
2 Harbor SC 4400 217+14 123.00 WWWW -0.62 +0.15 44% 4.8
3 Highline Premier FC 4400 195+14 123.00 WWWW -0.85 +0.09 65% 3.9
4 Western WA Surf Academy White 5410 172+15 132.60 WWWWD -0.32 -0.18 83% 3.0
5 Sparta Tacoma 5401 105+5 122.40 WLWWW +0.33 -0.41 29% 5.7
6 ALBION SC Hawaii 3210 192+17 72.33 WWD -2.21 +0.24 68% 3.8
7 Emerald City FC 6402 228+14 122.00 WWLWW -1.02 +0.56 8% 7.2
8 Western WA Surf Academy Blue 6312 2414+10 101.67 WLDWL -0.25 -0.07 5% 7.6
9 Seattle Celtic 5203 169+7 61.20 LLLWW -0.59 -0.03 3% 8.6
10 Everett FC 4112 1213-1 41.00 LDLW -1.25 +0.35 0% 11.9
11 Warriors Sports Academy 3102 518-13 31.00 LWL -0.44 +0.31 0% 14.1
12 BVBIA Washington 6114 721-14 40.67 DLLLL +1.46 -0.68 0% 12.6
13 Valencia CF Academy - Seattle 5104 1111+0 30.60 LLWLL +0.51 -0.44 0% 10.6
14 ALBION SC Washington 4013 221-19 10.25 LDLL +1.34 -0.20 0% 14.8
15 Sting Soccer Club - ID 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.09 ——
16 Mt. Rainier 5005 134-33 00.00 LLLLL +0.15 +0.16 0% 16.6
17 Atletico Rojo 7007 744-37 00.00 LLLLL +1.26 -0.59 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.78 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.