TableChase Clubs

Buffalo Pro Soccer Academy

Elite Academy League · Northeast (West) U19 · 7 teams · Buffalo Pro Soccer Academy (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 hours ago.
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1st
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
57% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.0
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 15, 12:00 AM

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Buffalo Pro Soccer Academy
1st · 0.00 PPG
at
FC Dynamo ROC
3rd · 0.00 PPG

TBD, TBD ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so farBuffalo Pro Soccer AcademyFC Dynamo ROC
Position1st3rd
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    FC Dynamo ROC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 AM at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dynamo ROC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Buffalo Pro Soccer Academy – FC Dynamo ROC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG
1st— holds 4th▼ down 3 5th▼ down 4
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 3rd▼ down 2
Draw
1.00 PPG
1st— holds 5th▼ down 4 5th▼ down 4
Loss
0.00 PPG
7th▼ down 6 7th▼ down 6 7th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

14% finish 1st
57% top 4
43% below the top 4
4.0 average finish
  1. 1st 14%
  2. 2nd 14%
  3. 3rd 14%
  4. 4th 15%
  5. 5th 14%
  6. 6th 15%
  7. 7th 14%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 1st hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 15
12:00 AM
FC Dynamo ROC
3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.24 Upside
Sat Nov 21
12:00 AM
FC Dynamo ROC
3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.41 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
04:00 PM
NY Rush East
4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Kevin T Keane Sports Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.47 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
NY Rush East
4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.41 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Saratoga-Wilton Soccer Club
6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.38 Upside
Sat Apr 3
03:00 PM
Saratoga-Wilton Soccer Club
6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Kevin T Keane Sports Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.41 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
01:00 PM
Utica Surf SC
7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Kevin T Keane Sports Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.43 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Utica Surf SC
7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.41 Upside
Sun Apr 11
06:00 PM
Rochester Rush
5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Monroe Community College
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.39 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Rochester Rush
5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.41 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
FC Dutchmen Surf
2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.42 Swing game
Sat May 1
01:30 PM
FC Dutchmen Surf
2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Dicaprio park
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.41 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Buffalo Pro Soccer Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
2 FC Dutchmen Surf 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
3 FC Dynamo ROC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
4 NY Rush East 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
5 Rochester Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
6 Saratoga-Wilton Soccer Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
7 Utica Surf SC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.