TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC Fairfield

Elite Academy League · Northeast (East) U15 · 8 teams · ALBION SC Fairfield (all teams)

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3rd
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
52% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.4
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 14, 01:30 PM

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ALBION SC Fairfield
3rd · 0.00 PPG
at

Ramapo High School, Ramapo High School turf field. ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC FairfieldGlobal Futbol Stars 11 Academy
Position3rd5th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:30 PM at Ramapo High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC Brooklyn sit 2nd on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above ALBION SC Brooklyn on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Fairfield – Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG
1st▲ up 2 3rd— holds 7th▼ down 4
Win
3.00 PPG
1st▲ up 2 1st▲ up 2 3rd— holds
Draw
1.00 PPG
1st▲ up 2 7th▼ down 4 7th▼ down 4
Loss
0.00 PPG
8th▼ down 5 8th▼ down 5 8th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

14% finish 1st
52% top 4
48% below the top 4
4.4 average finish
  1. 1st 14%
  2. 2nd 14%
  3. 3rd 13%
  4. 4th 12%
  5. 5th 13%
  6. 6th 11%
  7. 7th 12%
  8. 8th 12%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Albertson Soccer Club 0.00 (+0.00) 2nd (1.43) Already ahead
2 ALBION SC Brooklyn 0.00 (+0.00) 5th (1.39) Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 3rd hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 14
01:30 PM
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy
5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Ramapo High School · turf
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.24 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Atlantic United
4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.41 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
United Soccer Group
8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.35 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
JP Soccer
6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.41 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
NE Reds Long Island
7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.44 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Albertson Soccer Club
1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.41 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Brooklyn
2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.43 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Albertson Soccer Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
2 ALBION SC Brooklyn 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
3 ALBION SC Fairfield 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
4 Atlantic United 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
5 Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
6 JP Soccer 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
7 NE Reds Long Island 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
8 United Soccer Group 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.