United Stars Academy
Elite Academy League · Florida U19 · 5 teams · United Stars Academy (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 14, 03:00 PM
Amelia Earhart Park, Amelia Earhart Park ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 4–3 (expected goals 4.7 for, 3.3 against · 1.97 expected points)
| Season so far | United Stars Academy | La Cantera |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-1 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 6.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | L |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | 2–6 at ALBION SC Miami |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | -0.85 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.85 |
Game plan
-
They leak goals — be greedy
La Cantera concede 6.0/game; worst result 2–6 at ALBION SC Miami.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 61% / draw 13% / loss 26%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
PSL Hurricanes sit 3rd on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above PSL Hurricanes on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the La Cantera game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (United Stars Academy – La Cantera) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–3 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 13%
- 2nd 24%
- 3rd 26%
- 4th 24%
- 5th 13%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALBION SC Miami | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (1.91) | Win next game |
| 2 | Ignite Soccer Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.43) | Already ahead |
| 3 | PSL Hurricanes | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.43) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 4th hardest of 5
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 14 03:00 PM |
La Cantera 5th · 0-0-1 · GD -4 |
Home Amelia Earhart Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
4–3 | 1.97 | 1.97 | Swing game |
| Sun Jan 17 03:30 PM |
PSL Hurricanes 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Amelia Earhart Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
4–3 | 1.63 | 1.80 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 23 01:00 PM |
PSL Hurricanes 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Swan Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
3–4 | 1.22 | 1.61 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 21 03:30 PM |
Ignite Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Amelia Earhart Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
4–3 | 1.63 | 1.61 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Miami 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +4 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
3–4 | 0.90 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
La Cantera 5th · 0-0-1 · GD -4 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
4–3 | 1.57 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
Ignite Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
3–4 | 1.22 | 1.45 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
PSL Hurricanes 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
3–4 | 1.22 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Miami 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +4 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
3–4 | 1.28 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM |
La Cantera 5th · 0-0-1 · GD -4 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
4–3 | 1.57 | 1.42 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 12:00 AM |
Ignite Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
4–3 | 1.63 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 03:00 PM |
ALBION SC Miami 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +4 |
Home Amelia Earhart Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
3–4 | 1.28 | 1.43 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | ALBION SC Miami | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -0.85 | -0.15 | 98% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at La Cantera · Sat Dec 12 vs PSL Hurricanes · Sun Feb 7 vs Ignite Soccer Academy See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Ignite Soccer Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Feb 7 at ALBION SC Miami · Sun Feb 21 at United Stars Academy · Sat Mar 6 at La Cantera See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | PSL Hurricanes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at ALBION SC Miami · Sun Jan 17 at United Stars Academy · Sat Jan 23 vs United Stars Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | United Stars Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 vs La Cantera · Sun Jan 17 vs PSL Hurricanes · Sat Jan 23 at PSL Hurricanes See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | La Cantera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.85 | +0.15 | 40% | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Miami · Sat Nov 14 at United Stars Academy · Sat Jan 30 vs PSL Hurricanes See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.87 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.