La Cantera
Elite Academy League · Florida U19 · 5 teams · La Cantera (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 09:00 AM
Lakes By the Bay Park, LBTB2 ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 3–4 (expected goals 3.3 for, 4.6 against · 0.95 expected points)
| Season so far | La Cantera | ALBION SC Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-1 | 1-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 6.0 |
| Goals against / game | 6.0 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L | W |
| Biggest win | — | 6–2 vs La Cantera |
| Worst loss | 2–6 at ALBION SC Miami | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.85 | +0.85 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.85 | -0.85 |
Already played this season: Sun Oct 18 2–6 at ALBION SC Miami (L)
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
ALBION SC Miami score 6.0/game — well above the league's 3.9.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 27%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
-
What a win does
United Stars Academy sit 4th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above United Stars Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Miami game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (La Cantera – ALBION SC Miami) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Win 1.50 PPG |
2nd▲ up 3 | 2nd▲ up 3 | 2nd▲ up 3 |
| Draw 0.50 PPG |
2nd▲ up 3 | 2nd▲ up 3 | 2nd▲ up 3 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–4 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 1%
- 2nd 6%
- 3rd 12%
- 4th 22%
- 5th 60%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.75 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALBION SC Miami | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (1.91) | 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 2 | Ignite Soccer Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.43) | Already ahead |
| 3 | PSL Hurricanes | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.43) | Already ahead |
| 4 | United Stars Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.43) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
1 chain · 2 teams
Paths of results that link La Cantera to ALBION SC Miami through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.15 · 1st hardest of 5
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 09:00 AM |
ALBION SC Miami 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +4 |
Home Lakes By the Bay Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
3–4 | 0.95 | 0.48 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 03:00 PM |
United Stars Academy 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Amelia Earhart Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
3–4 | 0.90 | 0.62 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 10:00 AM |
PSL Hurricanes 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
3–4 | 1.28 | 0.78 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
Ignite Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
3–4 | 1.28 | 0.88 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
United Stars Academy 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
3–4 | 1.28 | 0.95 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
PSL Hurricanes 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
3–4 | 0.90 | 0.94 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Miami 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +4 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
2–5 | 0.62 | 0.90 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 12:00 AM |
Ignite Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
3–4 | 0.90 | 0.90 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM |
United Stars Academy 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
3–4 | 1.28 | 0.94 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
PSL Hurricanes 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
3–4 | 1.28 | 0.97 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 04:00 PM |
Ignite Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
3–4 | 0.90 | 0.97 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALBION SC Miami | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -0.85 | -0.15 | 98% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at La Cantera · Sat Dec 12 vs PSL Hurricanes · Sun Feb 7 vs Ignite Soccer Academy See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Ignite Soccer Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sun Feb 7 at ALBION SC Miami · Sun Feb 21 at United Stars Academy · Sat Mar 6 at La Cantera See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | PSL Hurricanes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at ALBION SC Miami · Sun Jan 17 at United Stars Academy · Sat Jan 23 vs United Stars Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | United Stars Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 vs La Cantera · Sun Jan 17 vs PSL Hurricanes · Sat Jan 23 at PSL Hurricanes See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | La Cantera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.85 | +0.15 | 40% | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Miami · Sat Nov 14 at United Stars Academy · Sat Jan 30 vs PSL Hurricanes See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.87 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.