Arizona Soccer Club Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Mountain BU12 · 6 teams · Arizona Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Mar 13, TBD
Venue TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.5 for, 2.4 against · 1.45 expected points)
| Season so far | Arizona Soccer Club Pre | CCV STARS Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-1 | 0-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L | L L |
| Biggest win | 3–1 at CCV STARS Pre | — |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre | 1–3 vs Arizona Soccer Club Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.83 | -0.54 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.37 | +0.28 |
Already played this season: Sat Sep 26 3–1 at CCV STARS Pre (W)
Common opponents: Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre — we 0–7; they 2–3.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–7 at Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 42% / draw 19% / loss 39%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the CCV STARS Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Arizona Soccer Club Pre – CCV STARS Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Mar 8 – Sun Mar 14); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.33 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Loss 1.00 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 1%
- 2nd 7%
- 3rd 14%
- 4th 21%
- 5th 31%
- 6th 26%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.70 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre | 3.00 (+1.50) | 1st (2.29) | 27 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
How the results connect
2 chains · 3 teams
Paths of results that link Arizona Soccer Club Pre to CCV STARS Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
3 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.10 · 1st hardest of 6
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
CCV STARS Pre 6th · 0-0-2 · GD -3 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
2–2 | 1.45 | 1.48 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Arizona Arsenal Pre 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.16 | 1.40 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
NM Rapids SC Pre 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
2–3 | 0.85 | 1.29 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
El Paso Locomotive FC Pre 14/15 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
2–3 | 0.85 | 1.22 | Upside |
| Thu Apr 8 TBD |
Arizona Arsenal Pre 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
2–3 | 0.85 | 1.17 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
NM Rapids SC Pre 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.16 | 1.17 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
El Paso Locomotive FC Pre 14/15 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.16 | 1.16 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +8 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.57 | 1.11 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.68 | -0.17 | 100% | 1.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at CCV STARS Pre · Fri Jan 29 vs Arizona Arsenal Pre · Sat Mar 20 at El Paso Locomotive FC Pre 14/15 See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Arizona Soccer Club Pre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 | 1.50 | LW | +0.37 | +0.10 | 43% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Mar 13 vs CCV STARS Pre · Sun Mar 14 vs Arizona Arsenal Pre · Sat Mar 20 at NM Rapids SC Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Arizona Arsenal Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Fri Jan 29 at Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre · Sun Mar 14 at Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sat Mar 27 at CCV STARS Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | El Paso Locomotive FC Pre 14/15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 vs Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre · Sun Mar 21 vs Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sat Mar 27 vs NM Rapids SC Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | NM Rapids SC Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 vs Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sun Mar 21 vs Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre · Sat Mar 27 at El Paso Locomotive FC Pre 14/15 See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | CCV STARS Pre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.28 | +0.07 | 26% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre · Sat Mar 13 at Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sat Mar 27 vs Arizona Arsenal Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.